Gillingham vs Grimsby Prediction
England · Regular Season - 13
Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham 24/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-9.7%
Gillingham Rest
3 days
Grimsby Rest
3 days
Gillingham vs Grimsby: result, form and history
Grimsby beat Gillingham 4-1 in the League Two on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Gillingham had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Grimsby.
Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
132%3.25
X26%3.39
242%2.12
Double Chance
1X58%1.67
X268%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.62
No43%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.27 = 2.69
Over 1.576%1.22
Over 2.553%1.79
Over 3.532%2.85
Under 1.524%3.80
Under 2.547%1.98
Under 3.568%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.9 = 10.2
Over 8.567%1.36
Over 9.556%1.70
Over 10.544%2.08
Under 8.533%2.75
Under 9.544%2.06
Under 10.556%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.560%-
Over 4.541%-
Under 3.540%-
Under 4.559%-
Match Events
7'Harvey Rodgers
24'Garath McClearyFoul
37'Ronan Chapman HaleAssist: Garath McCleary
43'Géza Dávid TuriTime wasting
51'Justin Ikechukwu Obiora AmaluzorNot retreating
53'Armani LittleFoul
54'Iwan Morgan(Penalty)
55'Justin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor INSonny Finch out
62'Maldini KacurriFoul
63'Géza Dávid Turi
66'Garath McCleary INTom Eaves out
67'Nick Freeman INS. Kendall out
70'Sonny FinchAssist: Géza Dávid Turi
72'Géza Dávid Turi INMark Shelton out
72'Iwan Morgan INJosh andrews out
79'Armani Little INEthan·Coleman out
81'Kieran Green INCian Doyle out
81'Jamie Walker INFinn Cartwright out
89'Sonny FinchFoul
90'Ethan·ColemanNot retreating
Lineups
GillinghamGrimsby
4-1-4-1Coach: D. ArtellAvg ratingAvg rating
1O. Wright
5A. Smith
19O. Beckles
20J. Daley
22N. Freeman
14R. McKenzie
8A. Little
3C. McManus
12G. McCleary
10R. Hale
16J. Brophy
31C. Pym
5H. Rodgers
2M. Kacurri
12J. Foulkes
9I. Morgan
15G. Turi
14J. Amaluzor
4K. Green
7J. Walker
30C. Vernam
39A. CookGillingham Substitutes
6E. Coleman79'for Armani Little90'
23B. Dack
39T. Eaves66'for Garath McCleary
40R. Luthra
24H. Waldock
26L. Dobbs
18S. Kendall67'for Nick Freeman
Grimsby Substitutes
29M. Shelton72'for Géza Dávid Turi
10S. Finch55'for Justin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor70'89'
8Cian Doyle81'for Kieran Green
1H. Cartwright
11Ryley Reynolds
28F. Cartwright81'for Jamie Walker
19J. Andrews72'for Iwan Morgan
Match Stats
GillinghamGrimsby 55%Ball Possession45%
4Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards4
10Total Shots21
2Shots on Goal9
8Shots off Goal5
5Shots Inside Box14
3Shots Outside Box7
0Blocked Shots7
16Fouls11
2Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves1
373Total Passes307
243Passes Accurate177
10Free Kicks15
Team Comparison
GillinghamGrimsby1470Elo Rating 1543
1.92Attack 1.54
0.47Defense 1.72
31%Hit Rate 27%
9.4Shots per Game 17.5
3.3Shots on Target 5.7
4.8Corners per Game 6.7
2.5Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Gillingham- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Grimsby- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Gillingham1Wins · 13%Draws337%
Grimsby4Wins · 50%
4Wins · 50%2.3Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8
Previous meetings
18/04/2026GillinghamGrimsby14
18/10/2025GrimsbyGillingham10
28/01/2025GrimsbyGillingham11
01/10/2024GillinghamGrimsby01
16/03/2024GillinghamGrimsby11
02/09/2023GrimsbyGillingham20
14/02/2023GillinghamGrimsby21
13/09/2022GrimsbyGillingham11
Recent Form
Gillingham5W2D3L
20/10/2026Gillingham
Port Vale
Accrington STGillingham
RotherhamGillinghamGillingham
Newport County
YorkGillinghamGillingham
Tranmere
RochdaleGillingham
GillinghamPort Vale11
D17/10/2026Accrington STGillingham31
L13/10/2026Gillingham
Brighton U21
10/10/2026GillinghamBrighton U2143
WRotherhamGillingham14
W03/10/2026GillinghamNewport County00
D26/09/2026YorkGillingham30
L22/09/2026Gillingham
Cambridge United
GillinghamCambridge United14
L19/09/2026Gillingham
Bristol Rovers
12/09/2026GillinghamBristol Rovers30
WGillinghamTranmere20
W05/09/2026RochdaleGillingham14
WGrimsby2W2D6L
20/10/2026RochdaleGrimsbyGrimsby
NorthamptonGrimsby
ShrewsburyNewport CountyGrimsbyGrimsby
Crawley TownGrimsbyBristol Rovers
RochdaleGrimsby22
D17/10/2026GrimsbyNorthampton02
L10/10/2026Port ValeGrimsby
Port ValeGrimsby10
L06/10/2026Grimsby
Burton Albion
03/10/2026GrimsbyBurton Albion2040
LGrimsbyShrewsbury12
L26/09/2026Newport CountyGrimsby21
L22/09/2026
Notts CountyGrimsby
19/09/2026Notts CountyGrimsby21
LGrimsbyCrawley Town20
W12/09/2026GrimsbyBristol Rovers20
W05/09/2026
CheltenhamGrimsby
CheltenhamGrimsby22
DLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 23:14 | +9 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Barnet | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:22 | 0 | 21 | WWLLL |
| 4 |  Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 5 | York | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22:16 | +6 | 20 | LWDDD |
| 6 |  Walsall | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | 19 | LWDDD |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 8 |  Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10:7 | +3 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:16 | +6 | 18 | WDWDW |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 17 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 | LDLWD |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 | DWLDL |
| 14 |  Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 16 | DWDLL |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 | LDDWD |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:22 | -7 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 18 |  Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | WLWDL |
| 20 |  Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 | DLWDL |
| 21 |  Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 12 | LDWWL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 13 | 23:14 | 28 |
| 2 | Barnet | 12 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 22:22 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 16:16 | 21 |
| 5 | York | 13 | 22:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Walsall | 12 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 14 | Swindon Town | 13 | 13:16 | 16 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 15:22 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 11:16 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 17:23 | 12 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 6:12 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 12:21 | 6 |
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About the Gillingham vs Grimsby forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Gillingham and Grimsby in the League Two table
In the League Two table, Gillingham (12th) and Grimsby (11th) are level on 17 points. League goal record so far: Gillingham 18-18, Grimsby 19-16. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.