Bahia vs Sao Paulo Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 33
Bahia vs Sao Paulo: what the numbers say
There is little to separate the two on recent form: Bahia have won 1 of their last five and Sao Paulo 2. The match is played in the Serie A on 29 Oct 2026.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Anderson Daronco averages 4.49 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Bahia
Sao PauloAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Bahia- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sao Paulo- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Bahia2Wins · 22%5Wins · 56%Previous meetings
03/05/2026Sao PauloBahia26/10/2025Sao PauloBahia31/05/2025BahiaSao Paulo06/11/2024BahiaSao Paulo30/06/2024Sao PauloBahia30/11/2023BahiaSao Paulo30/07/2023Sao PauloBahia07/11/2021BahiaSao Paulo11/07/2021Sao PauloBahiaRecent Form
BahiaSao Paulo
MirassolSao PauloSao Paulo
Vasco DA GamaSao Paulo
Vitoria
CruzeiroSao PauloSao Paulo
SantosSao Paulo
InternacionalSao Paulo
Boca Juniors
PalmeirasSao PauloBoca JuniorsSao PauloSao Paulo
Atletico-MGReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.49 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).
Cards come from 237 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64:27 | +37 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 69 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 | WWLWW |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | +12 | 54 | DLWDW |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50:41 | +9 | 51 | LLLWW |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | +6 | 50 | LWWDW |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45:40 | +5 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 46 | DWLDW |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37:36 | +1 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:38 | +1 | 41 | LDWDL |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44:51 | -7 | 39 | LWDLL |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 38 | WLDWW |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 | WLDWL |
| 17 |  Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 34 | WLDDD |
| 18 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 26 | LDDDL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32:63 | -31 | 21 | WLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 56:22 | 69 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | 50:41 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 45:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | 49:47 | 46 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 37:36 | 43 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 39:38 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 44:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 39:45 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 36:40 | 35 |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 35:44 | 34 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 34:50 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 32:63 | 21 |
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About the Bahia vs Sao Paulo forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Bahia and Sao Paulo in the Serie A table
Bahia and Sao Paulo are close in the Serie A table, 7th and 9th, with 7 points between them. League goal record so far: Bahia 45-40, Sao Paulo 37-36. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.