Malaga vs Racing Santander Prediction

Malaga
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Racing Santander
La Rosaleda, Malaga·Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Malaga Rest
6 days
Racing Santander Rest
5 days

Malaga vs Racing Santander: result, form and history

Racing Santander beat Malaga 2-1 in the La Liga on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.5 goals a game across 6 matches. Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos averages 5.52 cards a game, 0.62 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.40
X
26%3.60
2
34%2.85
Double Chance
1X
66%1.40
X2
60%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.53
No
40%2.37
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.39 = 2.82
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.69
Over 3.5
36%2.64
Under 1.5
22%4.30
Under 2.5
44%2.21
Under 3.5
64%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.4 = 9
Over 8.5
53%1.34
Over 9.5
41%1.59
Over 10.5
31%1.99
Under 8.5
47%3.00
Under 9.5
59%2.25
Under 10.5
69%1.77
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%1.31
Over 4.5
47%1.54
Under 3.5
34%3.25
Under 4.5
53%2.42

Match Events

24'Rafael Garrido Hierro INDavid Larrubia out
28'Carlos DotorAssist: Adrián Niño
31'Julen AgirrezabalaFoul
38'Adam AznouFoul
45'Iván Martín INPablo García out
45+1'Einar GalileaFoul
50'Iker LuqueAssist: Pablo Ramon Parra
60'Yassir Zabiri
64'Adam Aznou
72'Einar Galilea INJosé Salinas out
72'Ramón Enríquez INRafael Rodríguez Ruiz out
73'Sergio Canales INAndré Almeida out
73'Iñigo Vicente INGiorgi Guliashvili out
76'Adrián NiñoDissent
80'Carlos Ruiz RubioDissent
82'Dani Lorenzo INPablo Martínez Andrés out
82'Pablo Ramon Parra INÍñigo Sáinz-Maza out
82'Carlos Dotor INJoaquín Muñoz out
88'Iker Luque INAarón Martin Caricol out
90'Carlos DotorDissent
90+1'Giorgi GuliashviliFoul

Lineups

Malaga
5-3-2Coach: Funes
Racing Santander
4-2-3-1Coach: José Alberto López
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.90
Alfonso Herrero6.81A. Herrero
Rafita6.431Rafita
Fernando Calero6.720F. Calero
Álex Pastor6.75Á. Pastor
Einar Galilea6.24E. Galilea
Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh5.339A. Aznou Ben Cheikh
Carlos Dotor7.88C. Dotor
Ramón Enríquez6.86R. Enríquez
Dani Lorenzo6.422D. Lorenzo
Adrián Niño Heredia6.521A. Niño Heredia
Chupe6.99Chupe
Julen Agirrezabala8.013J. Agirrezabala
Pablo Ramón7.15P. Ramón
Pedro Felipe6.822P. Felipe
J. Belocian6.924J. Belocian
Jorge Salinas6.917J. Salinas
Iván Martín6.023I. Martín
M. Prati7.318M. Prati
Iker Luque7.519I. Luque
Sergio Canales7.220S. Canales
Iñigo Vicente6.110I. Vicente
M. Zabiri8.221M. Zabiri

Malaga Substitutes

32J. Fernandez
14Rafa Rodríguez72'for Ramón Enríquez6.5
12José Salinas72'for Einar Galilea7.1
15Ángel Recio
25Juan Berrocal
17Eneko Jauregi
2J. Cajuste
10David Larrubia24'for Rafael Garrido Hierro6.6
13Carlos López
18Pablo Martínez82'for Dani Lorenzo6.0
23Izan Merino
11Joaquín Muñoz82'for Carlos Dotor6.2

Racing Santander Substitutes

9Juan Carlos Arana
1S. Eriksson
15Pablo García45'for Iván Martín6.7
16Facundo González
14M. Gueye
7G. Guliashvili73'for Iñigo Vicente90+1'6.6
4Manu Hernando
3Aarón Martín88'for Iker Luque6.3
38H. Perez
8André Almeida73'for Sergio Canales6.4
6Íñigo Sainz-Maza82'for Pablo Ramon Parra6.4
12Asier Villalibre

Match Stats

MalagaRacing Santander
46%Ball Possession54%
6Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
16Total Shots21
8Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal9
13Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box11
1Blocked Shots5
11Fouls5
2Offsides3
5Goalkeeper Saves7
430Total Passes504
361Passes Accurate431
5Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

MalagaMalaga
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
1648Elo Rating 1679
1.62Attack 1.13
1.30Defense 1.38
23%Hit Rate 42%
11.7Shots per Game 14.9
5.1Shots on Target 4.8
3.9Corners per Game 6.0
1.9Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MalagaMalaga
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

MalagaMalaga0Wins · 0%
Draws350%
Racing SantanderRacing Santander3Wins · 50%
1.5Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Segunda División24/05/2026
MalagaRacing Santander
11
Segunda División05/10/2025
Racing SantanderMalaga
30
Segunda División01/02/2025
Racing SantanderMalaga
21
Segunda División23/11/2024
MalagaRacing Santander
00
Segunda División05/03/2023
MalagaRacing Santander
01
Segunda División01/10/2022
Racing SantanderMalaga
00

Referee Profile

Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos133 matches

5.52Cards per match
5.19Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos5.52
Other referees4.90

5.52 cards a match, 0.62 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.90).

Cards come from 129 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona12110148:13+3533WWLWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid12100231:10+2130WWWWW
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1291223:10+1328LWWWW
4Real BetisReal Betis1282220:15+526WWDLW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1271421:20+122WLWWW
6SevillaSevilla1253417:19-218DLWLD
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1144315:11+416WWLDD
8VillarrealVillarreal1243517:15+215WLWDL
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1236315:14+115DWLDL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander1242617:30-1314WLWLD
11Celta VigoCelta Vigo1227310:10013DLDWD
12AlavesAlaves1234515:17-213DLDLL
13EspanyolEspanyol1233613:14-112DWLLD
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1133515:21-612WLDDD
15GetafeGetafe123368:18-1012LWLDL
16OsasunaOsasuna1233612:23-1112DLLWL
17LevanteLevante1225516:21-511DLLWD
18ElcheElche1224614:20-610LLWDD
19ValenciaValencia122378:20-129LWLDD
20MalagaMalaga120579:23-145LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1248:1333
2Real MadridReal Madrid1231:1030
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1223:1028
4Real BetisReal Betis1220:1526
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1221:2022
6SevillaSevilla1217:1918
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1115:1116
8VillarrealVillarreal1217:1515
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1215:1415
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander1217:3014
11Celta VigoCelta Vigo1210:1013
12AlavesAlaves1215:1713
13EspanyolEspanyol1213:1412
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1115:2112
15GetafeGetafe128:1812
16OsasunaOsasuna1212:2312
17LevanteLevante1216:2111
18ElcheElche1214:2010
19ValenciaValencia128:209
20MalagaMalaga129:235
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Malaga vs Racing Santander forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Malaga and Racing Santander in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Racing Santander are 10th and Malaga 20th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Malaga 9-23, Racing Santander 17-30. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.