Sevilla vs Alaves Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel54%SurpriseMediumGap0.0%
Sevilla Rest
5 days
Alaves Rest
6 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
150%1.86
X29%3.46
221%4.55
Double Chance
1X79%1.20
X251%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%2.00
No50%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.19 = 2.59
Over 1.570%1.40
Over 2.546%2.24
Over 3.525%4.01
Under 1.530%2.98
Under 2.554%1.67
Under 3.575%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.3 = 9.9
Over 8.563%1.80
Over 9.552%2.25
Over 10.541%3.02
Under 8.537%1.97
Under 9.548%1.57
Under 10.559%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.561%1.32
Over 4.542%1.63
Under 3.539%3.20
Under 4.558%2.23
Match Events
30'Pablo Ibanez LumbrerasDissent
32'Rubén Vargas(Penalty missed)
47'Arouna SanganteFoul
59'Rubén Vargas INChidera Ejuke out
60'Angel Pérez Hidalgo INAbderrahmane Rebbach out
60'Ander Guevara INCarlos Protesoni out
63'Toni MartínezFoul
64'Nicolas ValentiniFoul
74'Isaac Romero INRobbie Ure out
74'Arouna Sangante INAndrés Castrín out
74'Toni Martínez INMariano Díaz out
85'Lucas Boyé INAitor Mañas out
85'Felix Correia INAlfonso González Martínez out
85'Youssef Enriquez INJonny Otto out
Lineups
SevillaAlaves
3-5-2Coach: Quique Sánchez FloresAvg ratingAvg rating
1O. Vlachodimos
2J. Iglesias
12A. Sangante
4K. Salas
17G. Suazo
24Y. Fofana
6L. Agoumé
11R. Vargas
16Isaac
20F. Correia
19L. Stassin
1Sivera
14N. Tenaglia
16V. Koski
2N. Valentini
7A. Pérez
6Guevara
8A. Blanco
19P. Ibáñez
3Yusi
11T. Martínez
15L. BoyéSevilla Substitutes
3Julio Díaz del Romo
21C. Ejuke59'for Rubén Vargas
7Alfon González85'for Felix Correia
13Fran González
27N. Guillen
18Jon Guridi
8G. Kochorashvili
5Andrés Castrín74'for Arouna Sangante
34Iker Ortín Muñoz
15Fábio Cardoso
9R. Ure74'for Isaac Romero
22José Ángel Carmona
Alaves Substitutes
23C. Benavídez60'for Ander Guevara
17Jonny85'for Youssef Enriquez
24Selu Diallo
9M. Díaz74'for Toni Martínez
20Aitor Mañas85'for Lucas Boyé
12Hugo Novoa
27X. Olaiz
21A. Rebbach60'for Angel Pérez Hidalgo
13A. Giménez
22Miguel Rodríguez
4Denis Suárez
10Carles Aleñá
Match Stats
SevillaAlaves 60%Ball Possession40%
5Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots0
14Fouls19
3Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
390Total Passes261
294Passes Accurate158
18Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
SevillaAlaves1746Elo Rating 1731
1.29Attack 0.73
1.75Defense 0.82
36%Hit Rate 0%
13.2Shots per Game 12.0
4.5Shots on Target 3.9
4.0Corners per Game 3.8
2.1Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Sevilla- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Alaves- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sevilla2Wins · 20%Draws440%
Alaves4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%2.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
14/02/2026SevillaAlaves11
17/12/2025AlavesSevilla10
20/09/2025AlavesSevilla12
20/04/2025SevillaAlaves11
20/09/2024AlavesSevilla21
12/01/2024SevillaAlaves23
21/08/2023AlavesSevilla43
17/01/2023AlavesSevilla01
04/03/2022AlavesSevilla00
20/11/2021SevillaAlaves22
Recent Form
Sevilla4W2D4L
01/11/2026
GetafeSevillaSevilla
Osasuna
Real MadridSevilla
LevanteSevilla
Deportivo La CorunaSevillaSevilla
Valencia
EspanyolSevilla
GetafeSevilla31
L29/10/2026
HortalezaSevilla
26/10/2026HortalezaSevilla03
WSevillaOsasuna20
W18/10/2026Real MadridSevilla41
L12/10/2026LevanteSevilla33
D02/10/2026Sevilla
Aston Villa
SevillaAston Villa13
L19/09/2026Sevilla
Barcelona
16/09/2026SevillaBarcelona13
LDeportivo La CorunaSevilla01
W11/09/2026SevillaValencia10
W06/09/2026EspanyolSevilla11
DAlaves2W3D5L
Referee Profile
5.32Cards per match
5.14Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
27.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.32 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.40).
Cards come from 28 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 48:13 | +35 | 33 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31:10 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | +13 | 28 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:15 | +5 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLWLD |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | WWLDD |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 15 | DWLDL |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 | WLWLD |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 | DWLLD |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 | WLDDD |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 12 | LWLDL |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 | DLLWL |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 11 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | LLWDD |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 48:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 31:10 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 20:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 15:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 17:30 | 14 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 8:18 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 14:20 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 8:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 9:23 | 5 |
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About the Sevilla vs Alaves forecast
The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sevilla and Alaves in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Sevilla are 6th and Alaves 12th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Sevilla 17-19, Alaves 15-17. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Sevilla have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.