Osasuna vs Athletic Club Prediction

Osasuna
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Athletic Club
Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona·Miguel Sesma Espinosa 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.28
SignalSOLIDModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-7.8%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.51
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+1.5%
Osasuna Rest
4 days
Athletic Club Rest
5 days

Osasuna vs Athletic Club: the result in context

Osasuna and Athletic Club drew 1-1 in the La Liga on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%3.68
X
27%3.42
2
42%2.06
Double Chance
1X
58%1.76
X2
70%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.85
No
46%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.63 = 2.94
Over 1.5
74%1.35
Over 2.5
51%2.11
Over 3.5
29%3.73
Under 1.5
26%3.15
Under 2.5
49%1.75
Under 3.5
71%1.26
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.8 = 9.3
Over 8.5
56%1.52
Over 9.5
44%1.90
Over 10.5
34%2.43
Under 8.5
44%2.36
Under 9.5
56%1.83
Under 10.5
66%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.37
Over 4.5
40%1.80
Under 3.5
41%2.95
Under 4.5
60%1.91

Match Events

45+2'Jon MoncayolaFoul
54'Ante BudimirFoul
65'Robert Navarro Muñoz INOihan Sancet out
65'Beñat Gerenabarrena INIñigo Ruiz De Galarreta out
68'Jon Moncayola INAsier Osambela out
68'Raul Moro INJonathan Dubasin out
74'Moi Gómez INIker Muñoz Cameros out
80'Ante Budimir INRaul García out
80'Rubén García INEnrique Barja Alfonso out
84'Nico Williams
86'Peio Canales INBeñat Prados Díaz out
86'Nico Williams INJohaneko Louis-Jean out
90'Alex Berenguer INYeray Álvarez out
90'Alejandro Catena
90+3'Yuri BerchicheFoul
90+4'Iker Muñoz CamerosFoul

Lineups

Osasuna
4-3-3Coach: Arrasate
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1Coach: E. Terzić
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating6.86
Aitor Fernández6.513A. Fernández
V. Rosier7.519V. Rosier
F. Boyomo7.122F. Boyomo
Catena7.824Catena
Abel Bretones7.123A. Bretones
Moncayola6.07Moncayola
Lucas Torró6.66L. Torró
Moi Gómez6.416M. Gómez
Rubén García6.714R. García
A. Budimir6.217A. Budimir
Raul Moro6.318R. Moro
Unai Simón7.71U. Simón
Hugo Rincón6.915H. Rincón
Dani Vivian7.43D. Vivian
Aymeric Laporte7.414A. Laporte
Yuri6.717Yuri
Peio Canales6.728P. Canales
Beñat Gerenabarrena6.624B. Gerenabarrena
Álex Berenguer6.37Á. Berenguer
Robert Navarro6.923R. Navarro
Nico Williams7.910N. Williams
I. Williams6.49I. Williams

Osasuna Substitutes

11Kike Barja80'for Rubén García6.7
27Íñigo Arguibide
21Jonathan Dubasin68'for Raul Moro6.5
26Mauro Echegoyen
9Raúl García80'for Ante Budimir6.1
1Sergio Herrera
8Iker Muñoz74'for Moi Gómez90+4'6.4
29Asier Osambela68'for Jon Moncayola6.9
31Rafa Fernández
15Diego Rico
35U. Santos
48R. Yeboah

Athletic Club Substitutes

12Jesús Areso
34Jesús Vizcay Hurtado
8Oihan Sancet65'for Robert Navarro Muñoz6.4
16Ruíz de Galarreta65'for Beñat Gerenabarrena6.5
20Alejandro Rego
6Beñat Prados86'for Peio Canales6.5
13Álex Padilla
31J. Louis-Jean86'for Nico Williams6.6
18Mikel Jauregizar
25Álvaro Djaló
5Yeray90'for Alex Berenguer
33Christian Imga

Match Stats

OsasunaAthletic Club
40%Ball Possession60%
6Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box11
10Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots5
19Fouls10
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
336Total Passes546
251Passes Accurate475
10Free Kicks19

Team Comparison

OsasunaOsasuna
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1684Elo Rating 1782
2.26Attack 2.86
1.37Defense 2.00
39%Hit Rate 69%
12.7Shots per Game 16.1
3.6Shots on Target 5.3
3.9Corners per Game 5.7
3.2Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

OsasunaOsasuna
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

OsasunaOsasuna3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Athletic ClubAthletic Club4Wins · 40%
2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

La Liga21/04/2026
Athletic ClubOsasuna
10
La Liga03/01/2026
OsasunaAthletic Club
11
La Liga30/03/2025
Athletic ClubOsasuna
00
Copa del Rey16/01/2025
Athletic ClubOsasuna
23
La Liga21/12/2024
OsasunaAthletic Club
12
La Liga11/05/2024
Athletic ClubOsasuna
22
La Liga19/08/2023
OsasunaAthletic Club
02
La Liga25/05/2023
OsasunaAthletic Club
20
Copa del Rey04/04/2023
Athletic ClubOsasuna
1110
Copa del Rey01/03/2023
OsasunaAthletic Club
10

Referee Profile

Miguel Sesma Espinosa114 matches

4.54Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Miguel Sesma Espinosa4.54
Other referees4.87

4.54 cards a match, 0.33 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.87).

Cards come from 69 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona12110148:13+3533WWLWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid12100231:10+2130WWWWW
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1291223:10+1328LWWWW
4Real BetisReal Betis1282220:15+526WWDLW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1271421:20+122WLWWW
6SevillaSevilla1253417:19-218DLWLD
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1144315:11+416WWLDD
8VillarrealVillarreal1243517:15+215WLWDL
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1236315:14+115DWLDL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander1242617:30-1314WLWLD
11Celta VigoCelta Vigo1227310:10013DLDWD
12AlavesAlaves1234515:17-213DLDLL
13EspanyolEspanyol1233613:14-112DWLLD
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1133515:21-612WLDDD
15GetafeGetafe123368:18-1012LWLDL
16OsasunaOsasuna1233612:23-1112DLLWL
17LevanteLevante1225516:21-511DLLWD
18ElcheElche1224614:20-610LLWDD
19ValenciaValencia122378:20-129LWLDD
20MalagaMalaga120579:23-145LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1248:1333
2Real MadridReal Madrid1231:1030
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1223:1028
4Real BetisReal Betis1220:1526
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1221:2022
6SevillaSevilla1217:1918
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1115:1116
8VillarrealVillarreal1217:1515
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1215:1415
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander1217:3014
11Celta VigoCelta Vigo1210:1013
12AlavesAlaves1215:1713
13EspanyolEspanyol1213:1412
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1115:2112
15GetafeGetafe128:1812
16OsasunaOsasuna1212:2312
17LevanteLevante1216:2111
18ElcheElche1214:2010
19ValenciaValencia128:209
20MalagaMalaga129:235
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Osasuna vs Athletic Club forecast

The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Osasuna and Athletic Club in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Athletic Club are 7th and Osasuna 16th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Osasuna 12-23, Athletic Club 15-11. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Osasuna have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Athletic Club have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.