Rochdale vs Accrington ST Prediction

Rochdale
0-5
Finished
HT 0-3
Accrington ST
Spotland, Rochdale 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.52
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap+2.9%
Rochdale Rest
3 days
Accrington ST Rest
3 days

Rochdale vs Accrington ST: result, form and history

Accrington ST beat Rochdale 5-0 in the League Two on 24 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Accrington ST had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Rochdale.

Accrington ST tend to win more corners, 6.8 a game to 4.8 for Rochdale.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.80
X
29%3.40
2
32%2.38
Double Chance
1X
68%1.52
X2
61%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.72
No
45%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.05 = 2.50
Over 1.5
73%1.29
Over 2.5
50%1.91
Over 3.5
29%3.25
Under 1.5
27%3.30
Under 2.5
50%1.84
Under 3.5
71%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.7 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.60
Over 9.5
50%2.03
Over 10.5
38%2.63
Under 8.5
38%2.15
Under 9.5
50%1.70
Under 10.5
62%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
39%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
61%-

Match Events

14'Josh Woods
20'Josh Woods INAlex Henderson out
23'David Tutonda
33'Donald LoveFoul
38'Charlie WarrenAssist: Tyler Walton
45+1'Tyler WaltonAssist: David Tutonda
50'Alex HendersonArgument
51'Tyler Walton
56'Sam·Sherring INLuke Hannant out
56'Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko INIan Henderson out
58'Charlie WarrenFoul
66'Alex HendersonAssist: Charlie Warren
70'Charlie Tasker INsam beckwith out
70'Cian Hayes INJamie Paterson out
73'Aidan borland INConor Grant out
83'Glenn Middleton INZain Silcott-Duberry out
87'sam beckwithFoul
88'Charlie Warren INCharlie·Brown out

Lineups

Rochdale
4-2-3-1Coach: Ian Watson
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2Coach: J. Doolan
Avg rating5.83
Avg rating7.34
Sam William John Waller5.920S. William John Waller
S. Sherring5.226S. Sherring
A. Flint6.044A. Flint
Kaiden Wilson5.63K. Wilson
C. Tasker5.02C. Tasker
H. Gilmour6.08H. Gilmour
E. Francis5.714E. Francis
C. Hayes5.47C. Hayes
B. Adeeko5.817B. Adeeko
G. Middleton5.845G. Middleton
D. Brown6.439D. Brown
L. Moulden6.21L. Moulden
D. Love6.12D. Love
D. Matthews7.617D. Matthews
J. Anderson7.522J. Anderson
C. O'Brien6.438C. O'Brien
Stefan Mols7.214S. Mols
Aidan Borland6.616A. Borland
D. Tutonda7.733D. Tutonda
J. Woods8.039J. Woods
T. Walton9.823T. Walton
C. Warren8.330C. Warren

Rochdale Substitutes

33S. Beckwith70'for Charlie Tasker87'5.2
19L. Hannant56'for Sam·Sherring6.2
40I. Henderson56'for Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko6.4
35J. Paterson70'for Cian Hayes6.3
11Z. Silcott-Duberry83'for Glenn Middleton6.3
12J. Spaven
56Reece Leonard

Accrington ST Substitutes

3Oliver Smith
20C. Brown88'for Charlie Warren6.6
8C. Grant73'for Aidan borland6.9
10Alex Henderson20'for Josh Woods50'66'7.9
4T. Moore
5F. Rawson
21J. Rogerson

Match Stats

RochdaleAccrington ST
58%Ball Possession42%
3Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards4
5Total Shots26
1Shots on Goal10
4Shots off Goal10
5Shots Inside Box15
0Shots Outside Box11
0Blocked Shots6
8Fouls13
2Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
497Total Passes344
377Passes Accurate249
12Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

RochdaleRochdale
Accrington STAccrington ST
1520Elo Rating 1527
1.01Attack 2.30
0.00Defense 2.44
0%Hit Rate 46%
9.5Shots per Game 17.5
2.3Shots on Target 5.6
4.8Corners per Game 6.8
1.3Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

RochdaleRochdale
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
Accrington STAccrington ST
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

RochdaleRochdale1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Accrington STAccrington ST1Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

League One17/04/2021
RochdaleAccrington ST
31
League One10/10/2020
Accrington STRochdale
21

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1355322:16+620LWDDD
6WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1322:1620
6WalsallWalsall1218:1119
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
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About the Rochdale vs Accrington ST forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rochdale and Accrington ST in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Accrington ST are 9th and Rochdale 17th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Rochdale 15-22, Accrington ST 22-16. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rochdale and Accrington ST have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.