Santos vs Bahia Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 32
Santos vs Bahia preview: form and head-to-head
There is little to separate the two on recent form: Santos have won 3 of their last five and Bahia 2. The match is played in the Serie A on 25 Oct 2026.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio averages 4.52 cards a game, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Santos
BahiaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Santos- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
Bahia- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Santos2Wins · 22%2Wins · 22%Previous meetings
25/04/2026BahiaSantos24/08/2025BahiaSantos07/04/2025SantosBahia19/09/2023BahiaSantos
01/06/2023BahiaSantos18/05/2023SantosBahia11/05/2023SantosBahia12/09/2021SantosBahia30/05/2021BahiaSantosRecent Form
Santos
FluminenseSantos
Atletico-MGSantosSantos
Flamengo
Sao PauloSantos
RemoSantosAtletico-MGSantosSantos
CruzeiroSantosAtletico-MG
InternacionalSantosSantos
PalmeirasReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.52 cards a match, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.19).
Cards come from 150 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61:25 | +36 | 67 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54:22 | +32 | 66 | WWWDW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 | WWLWW |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 49:37 | +12 | 53 | LWDWD |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49:39 | +10 | 51 | LLWWL |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | +7 | 50 | WWDWD |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 44:39 | +5 | 49 | LWLLW |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 48:46 | +2 | 45 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:35 | +1 | 42 | WWLLW |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39:36 | +3 | 41 | DWDLL |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 39 | WDLLW |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 | LDLLD |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 37 | DLWLD |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:44 | -8 | 36 | WLDWD |
| 15 |  Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | -7 | 35 | LDWWW |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 33 | DLLLL |
| 17 | Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 32 | LDWLW |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 31 | LDDDL |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 26 | LDDDL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 30:62 | -32 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 31 | 61:25 | 67 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 54:22 | 66 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 49:37 | 53 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 49:39 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 44:39 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 48:46 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 36:35 | 42 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 31 | 44:48 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 38:49 | 39 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 31 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 36:44 | 36 |
| 15 | Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 36:43 | 35 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 31 | 32:39 | 33 |
| 17 | Internacional | 31 | 33:40 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 34:44 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 34:50 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 30:62 | 18 |
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About the Santos vs Bahia forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Santos and Bahia in the Serie A table
Bahia and Santos are close in the Serie A table, 7th and 8th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Santos 48-46, Bahia 44-39. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.