England vs Congo DR Prediction

England
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Congo DR
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta·Adham Mohammad, Jordan 01/07/2026
EnglandEngland
2-1
Finished
Congo DRCongo DR

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.5 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.96
SignalSOLIDModel90%SurpriseMediumGap+9.6%
England Rest
3 days
Congo DR Rest
3 days

England vs Congo DR: result, form and history

England beat Congo DR 2-1 in the World Cup on 1 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: England had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Congo DR.

England tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 2.6 for Congo DR.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.29
X
20%5.00
2
9%12.25
Double Chance
1X
92%1.04
X2
29%3.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.75
No
49%1.42
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.18 + 0.78 = 2.96
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
46%2.06
Over 3.5
25%3.60
Under 1.5
28%3.25
Under 2.5
54%1.78
Under 3.5
75%1.26
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 2.5 = 8.2
Over 8.5
51%1.46
Over 9.5
42%1.80
Over 10.5
32%2.27
Under 8.5
49%2.53
Under 9.5
58%1.96
Under 10.5
68%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2 = 3.4
Over 3.5
51%2.60
Over 4.5
29%2.55
Under 3.5
49%1.42
Under 4.5
71%1.43

Match Events

7'B. CipengaAssist: C. Mbemba
19'J. BellinghamTripping
28'N. SadikiTripping
61'M. Rashford INA. Gordon out
61'N. Madueke INB. Saka out
64'N. Mbuku INM. Elia out
70'D. Spence INE. Eze out
75'H. KaneAssist: A. Gordon
76'N. Mukau INE. Kayembe out
76'B. Cipenga INT. Bongonda out
86'H. KaneAssist: A. Gordon
89'A. Masuaku INJ. Kayembe out
89'S. Moutoussamy INF. Mayele out
90+1'D. Rice INJ. Stones out

Lineups

England
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Tuchel
Congo DR
4-3-3Coach: Sebastien Desabre
Avg rating7.05
Avg rating6.72
Jordan Pickford6.21J. Pickford
Djed Spence6.725D. Spence
Ezri Konsa6.92E. Konsa
Marc Guéhi7.36M. Guéhi
Nico O'Reilly5.93N. O'Reilly
Elliot Anderson7.78E. Anderson
Declan Rice7.24D. Rice
Noni Madueke7.920N. Madueke
Jude Bellingham7.010J. Bellingham
Marcus Rashford6.911M. Rashford
Harry KaneC8.39H. Kane
Lionel Mpasi Nzau7.51L. Mpasi Nzau
Aaron Wan-Bissaka7.62A. Wan-Bissaka
Chancel MbembaC7.222C. Mbemba
Axel Tuanzebe6.74A. Tuanzebe
Arthur Masuaku6.226A. Masuaku
Ngal'ayel Mukau6.36N. Mukau
Samuel Moutoussamy7.08S. Moutoussamy
Noah Sadiki6.214N. Sadiki
Nathanaël Mbuku6.97N. Mbuku
Yoane Wissa6.320Y. Wissa
Brian Cipenga7.09B. Cipenga

England Substitutes

18Anthony Gordon61'for M. Rashford7.2
7Bukayo Saka61'for N. Madueke6.9
21Eberechi Eze70'for D. Spence6.6
23James Trafford
13Dean Henderson
12Trevoh Chalobah
5John Stones90+1'for D. Rice
15Dan Burn
24Reece James
26Jarell Quansah
14Jordan Henderson
17Morgan Rogers
16Kobbie Mainoo
19Ollie Watkins
22Ivan Toney

Congo DR Substitutes

13Meschak Elia64'for N. Mbuku6.3
10Théo Bongonda76'for B. Cipenga6.6
25Edo Kayembe76'for N. Mukau6.3
21Matthieu Epolo
16Timothy Fayulu
5Dylan Batubinsika
24Gedeon Kalulu
12Joris Kayembe89'for A. Masuaku
3Steve Kapuadi
11Gaël Kakuta
18Charles Pickel
15Aaron Tshibola
19Fiston Mayele89'for S. Moutoussamy
17Cédric Bakambu
23Simon Banza

Match Stats

EnglandCongo DR
60%Ball Possession40%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots7
7Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box2
3Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
10Fouls12
0Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves5
517Total Passes365
468Passes Accurate299
91%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

EnglandEngland
Congo DRCongo DR
1902Elo Rating 1674
3.98Attack 1.49
1.94Defense 1.77
83%Hit Rate 46%
18.1Shots per Game 11.1
6.8Shots on Target 2.8
5.7Corners per Game 2.6
1.1Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+229 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

EnglandEngland
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.4 vs 1.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Congo DRCongo DR
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

EnglandEngland
9W1D0L
27/06/2026
PanamaEngland
02
W
23/06/2026
EnglandGhana
00
D
17/06/2026
EnglandCroatia
42
W
10/06/2026
EnglandCosta Rica
30
W
06/06/2026
EnglandNew Zealand
10
W
16/11/2025
AlbaniaEngland
02
W
13/11/2025
EnglandSerbia
20
W
14/10/2025
LatviaEngland
05
W
09/09/2025
SerbiaEngland
05
W
06/09/2025
EnglandAndorra
20
W
Congo DRCongo DR
4W3D3L
28/06/2026
Congo DRUzbekistan
31
W
24/06/2026
ColombiaCongo DR
10
L
17/06/2026
PortugalCongo DR
11
D
09/06/2026
Congo DRChile
12
L
03/06/2026
Congo DRDenmark
00
D
31/03/2026
Congo DRJamaica
1000
W
06/01/2026
AlgeriaCongo DR
1000
L
30/12/2025
BotswanaCongo DR
03
W
27/12/2025
SenegalCongo DR
11
D
23/12/2025
Congo DRBenin
10
W

Referee Profile

Adham Mohammad28 matches

3.26Cards per match
3.19Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Adham Mohammad3.26
Other referees3.44

3.26 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.44).

Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group K

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ColombiaColombia32104:1+37DWW
2PortugalPortugal31206:1+55DWD
3Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
4UzbekistanUzbekistan30032:11-90LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ColombiaColombia34:17
2PortugalPortugal36:15
3Congo DRCongo DR34:34
4UzbekistanUzbekistan32:110

Group L

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EnglandEngland32106:2+47WDW
2CroatiaCroatia32015:506WWL
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4PanamaPanama30030:4-40LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1EnglandEngland36:27
2CroatiaCroatia35:56
3GhanaGhana32:24
4PanamaPanama30:40

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

About the England vs Congo DR forecast

As a knockout tie in the World Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

More World Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the World Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.5 out of 10 by our context model. England have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. England and Congo DR have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.