England vs Congo DR Prediction

England
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Congo DR
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta· Adham Mohammad, Jordan 01/07/2026
EnglandEngland
2-1
Finished
Congo DRCongo DR

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.5 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.94
SignalSTRONGModel90%RiskMediumGap+9.6%
England Rest
3 days
Congo DR Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.29
X
20%5.00
2
9%12.25
Double Chance
1X
92%1.04
X2
29%3.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.75
No
49%1.42
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.18 + 0.78 = 2.96
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
46%2.06
Over 3.5
25%3.60
Under 1.5
28%3.25
Under 2.5
54%1.78
Under 3.5
75%1.26
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 2.5 = 8.2
Over 8.5
51%1.46
Over 9.5
42%1.80
Over 10.5
32%2.26
Under 8.5
49%2.52
Under 9.5
58%1.94
Under 10.5
68%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2 = 3.4
Over 3.5
51%2.53
Over 4.5
29%3.73
Under 3.5
49%1.50
Under 4.5
71%1.29

Match Events

7'B. CipengaAssist: C. Mbemba
19'J. BellinghamTripping
28'N. SadikiTripping
61'M. Rashford INA. Gordon out
61'N. Madueke INB. Saka out
64'N. Mbuku INM. Elia out
70'D. Spence INE. Eze out
75'H. KaneAssist: A. Gordon
76'N. Mukau INE. Kayembe out
76'B. Cipenga INT. Bongonda out
86'H. KaneAssist: A. Gordon
89'A. Masuaku INJ. Kayembe out
89'S. Moutoussamy INF. Mayele out
90+1'D. Rice INJ. Stones out

Lineups

England
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Tuchel
Congo DR
4-3-3Coach: Sebastien Desabre
Jordan Pickford1J. PickfordJordan Pickford
Djed Spence25D. SpenceDjed Spence
Ezri Konsa2E. KonsaEzri Konsa
Marc Guéhi6M. GuéhiMarc Guéhi
Nico O'Reilly3N. O'ReillyNico O'Reilly
Elliot Anderson8E. AndersonElliot Anderson
Declan Rice4D. RiceDeclan Rice
Noni Madueke20N. MaduekeNoni Madueke
Jude Bellingham10J. BellinghamJude Bellingham
Marcus Rashford11M. RashfordMarcus Rashford
Harry Kane9H. KaneHarry Kane
Lionel Mpasi Nzau1L. Mpasi NzauLionel Mpasi Nzau
Aaron Wan-Bissaka2A. Wan-BissakaAaron Wan-Bissaka
Chancel Mbemba22C. MbembaChancel Mbemba
Axel Tuanzebe4A. TuanzebeAxel Tuanzebe
Arthur Masuaku26A. MasuakuArthur Masuaku
Ngal'ayel Mukau6N. MukauNgal'ayel Mukau
Samuel Moutoussamy8S. MoutoussamySamuel Moutoussamy
Noah Sadiki14N. SadikiNoah Sadiki
Nathanaël Mbuku7N. MbukuNathanaël Mbuku
Yoane Wissa20Y. WissaYoane Wissa
Brian Cipenga9B. CipengaBrian Cipenga

England Substitutes

18Anthony GordonF
7Bukayo SakaF
21Eberechi EzeM
23James TraffordG
13Dean HendersonG
12Trevoh ChalobahD
5John StonesD
15Dan BurnD
24Reece JamesD
26Jarell QuansahD
14Jordan HendersonM
17Morgan RogersM
16Kobbie MainooM
19Ollie WatkinsF
22Ivan ToneyF

Congo DR Substitutes

13Meschak EliaF
10Théo BongondaM
25Edo KayembeM
21Matthieu EpoloG
16Timothy FayuluG
5Dylan BatubinsikaD
24Gedeon KaluluD
12Joris KayembeD
3Steve KapuadiD
11Gaël KakutaM
18Charles PickelM
15Aaron TshibolaM
19Fiston MayeleF
17Cédric BakambuF
23Simon BanzaF

Match Stats

EnglandCongo DR
60%Ball Possession40%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots6
7Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal2
13Shots Inside Box2
3Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots2
10Fouls12
0Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves5
515Total Passes365
467Passes Accurate299
91%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

EnglandEngland
Congo DRCongo DR
1880Elo Rating 1672
2.82Attack 1.12
0.80Defense 1.87
58%Hit Rate 23%
13.5Shots per Game 11.5
7.2Shots on Target 2.4
3.3Corners per Game 3.4
0.7Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+208 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

EnglandEngland
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Congo DRCongo DR
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

EnglandEngland
4W1D0L
27/06/2026
PanamaEngland
02
W
23/06/2026
EnglandGhana
00
D
17/06/2026
EnglandCroatia
42
W
10/06/2026
EnglandCosta Rica
30
W
06/06/2026
EnglandNew Zealand
10
W
Congo DRCongo DR
1W2D2L
28/06/2026
Congo DRUzbekistan
31
W
24/06/2026
ColombiaCongo DR
10
L
17/06/2026
PortugalCongo DR
11
D
09/06/2026
Congo DRChile
12
L
03/06/2026
Congo DRDenmark
00
D

Referee Profile

Adham Mohammad, Jordan · 8 matches analysed

3.6Avg Yellows
3.7Avg Cards
24.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 20% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group K

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ColombiaColombia32104:1+37DWW
2PortugalPortugal31206:1+55DWD
3Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
4UzbekistanUzbekistan30032:11-90LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ColombiaColombia34:17
2PortugalPortugal36:15
3Congo DRCongo DR34:34
4UzbekistanUzbekistan32:110

Group L

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EnglandEngland32106:2+47WDW
2CroatiaCroatia32015:506WWL
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4PanamaPanama30030:4-40LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1EnglandEngland36:27
2CroatiaCroatia35:56
3GhanaGhana32:24
4PanamaPanama30:40

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

England vs Congo DR Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.5 out of 10 by our context model. England and Congo DR have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.