England vs Argentina Prediction

World CupWorld World · Semi-finals
CupKnockout
England
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Argentina
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta· Ismail Elfath, USA 15/07/2026
EnglandEngland
1-2
Finished
ArgentinaArgentina

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
9.3 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+6.3%
Value Analysis
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalGOODModel40%RiskHighGap+11.1%
England Rest
3 days
Argentina Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.66
X
35%2.88
2
21%3.02
Double Chance
1X
79%1.38
X2
56%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.91
No
47%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 0.91 = 2.34
Over 1.5
72%1.42
Over 2.5
43%2.38
Over 3.5
25%4.30
Under 1.5
28%2.76
Under 2.5
57%1.60
Under 3.5
75%1.19
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 3.5 = 8.3
Over 8.5
54%2.25
Over 9.5
45%3.00
Over 10.5
33%4.50
Under 8.5
46%1.58
Under 9.5
55%1.32
Under 10.5
67%1.18
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.6
Over 3.5
49%1.71
Over 4.5
30%2.23
Under 3.5
51%2.02
Under 4.5
70%1.61

Match Events

37'E. AndersonTripping
42'L. MartinezHolding
51'C. RomeroHolding
55'A. GordonAssist: M. Rogers
64'L. Paredes INN. Gonzalez out
72'A. Gordon INE. Konsa out
72'G. Simeone INR. de Paul out
72'N. Molina ING. Montiel out
72'L. Martinez INN. Otamendi out
81'N. Tagliafico INL. Martinez out
82'R. James IND. Burn out
82'D. Rice INN. O'Reilly out
85'E. FernandezAssist: L. Messi
90+2'L. MartinezAssist: L. Messi
90+4'R. de PaulUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+6'J. Stones INI. Toney out
90+6'D. Spence INM. Rashford out

Lineups

England
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Tuchel
Argentina
4-1-4-1Coach: Lionel Scaloni
Jordan Pickford1J. PickfordJordan Pickford
Reece James24R. JamesReece James
John Stones5J. StonesJohn Stones
Marc Guéhi6M. GuéhiMarc Guéhi
Djed Spence25D. SpenceDjed Spence
Declan Rice4D. RiceDeclan Rice
Elliot Anderson8E. AndersonElliot Anderson
Morgan Rogers17M. RogersMorgan Rogers
Jude Bellingham10J. BellinghamJude Bellingham
Anthony Gordon18A. GordonAnthony Gordon
Harry Kane9H. KaneHarry Kane
Emiliano Martínez23E. MartínezEmiliano Martínez
Nahuel Molina26N. MolinaNahuel Molina
Cristian Romero13C. RomeroCristian Romero
Lisandro Martínez6L. MartínezLisandro Martínez
Nicolás Tagliafico3N. TagliaficoNicolás Tagliafico
Leandro Paredes5L. ParedesLeandro Paredes
Giuliano Simeone17G. SimeoneGiuliano Simeone
Enzo Fernández24E. FernándezEnzo Fernández
Alexis Mac Allister20A. Mac AllisterAlexis Mac Allister
Julián Alvarez9J. AlvarezJulián Alvarez
Lionel Messi10L. MessiLionel Messi

England Substitutes

2Ezri KonsaD
3Nico O'ReillyD
15Dan BurnD
11Marcus RashfordF
22Ivan ToneyF
23James TraffordG
13Dean HendersonG
12Trevoh ChalobahD
21Eberechi EzeM
14Jordan HendersonM
16Kobbie MainooM
7Bukayo SakaF
20Noni MaduekeF
19Ollie WatkinsF

Argentina Substitutes

15Nicolás GonzálezF
19Nicolás OtamendiD
4Gonzalo MontielD
7Rodrigo De PaulM
22Lautaro MartínezF
1Juan MussoG
12Gerónimo RulliG
25Facundo MedinaD
2Marcos SenesiD
16Thiago AlmadaM
11Giovani Lo CelsoM
14Exequiel PalaciosM
18Nico PazF
8Valentín BarcoM
21José Manuel LópezF

Match Stats

EnglandArgentina
36%Ball Possession64%
1Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards3
5Total Shots15
2Shots on Goal5
1Shots off Goal7
2Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots3
11Fouls15
1Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves1
324Total Passes590
272Passes Accurate537
84%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

EnglandEngland
ArgentinaArgentina
1880Elo Rating 1906
2.82Attack 1.57
0.80Defense 2.10
58%Hit Rate 54%
13.5Shots per Game 13.1
7.2Shots on Target 4.2
3.3Corners per Game 5.9
0.7Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

EnglandEngland
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ArgentinaArgentina
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

EnglandEngland
4W1D0L
11/07/2026
NorwayEngland
0111
W06/07/2026
MexicoEngland
23
W01/07/2026
EnglandCongo DR
21
W27/06/2026
PanamaEngland
02
W23/06/2026
EnglandGhana
00
D
ArgentinaArgentina
5W0D0L
12/07/2026
ArgentinaSwitzerland
2101
W07/07/2026
ArgentinaEgypt
32
W
04/07/2026
ArgentinaCape Verde Islands
2111
W
28/06/2026
JordanArgentina
13
W22/06/2026
ArgentinaAustria
20
W

Referee Profile

Ismail Elfath, USA · 4 matches analysed

3.6Avg Yellows
3.8Avg Cards
23.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 19% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group J

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArgentinaArgentina33008:1+79WWW
2AustriaAustria31116:604DLW
3AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
4JordanJordan30033:8-50LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArgentinaArgentina38:19
2AustriaAustria36:64
3AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
4JordanJordan33:80

Group L

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EnglandEngland32106:2+47WDW
2CroatiaCroatia32015:506WWL
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4PanamaPanama30030:4-40LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1EnglandEngland36:27
2CroatiaCroatia35:56
3GhanaGhana32:24
4PanamaPanama30:40

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0
Canada0
Morocco3
Paraguay0
France1
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland04
Colombia03
On penalties
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2
Spain01
Argentina00
After extra time
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2

England vs Argentina Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 9.3 out of 10 by our context model. England and Argentina have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.