Watford vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Watford
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Middlesbrough
Vicarage Road, Watford·Gavin Ward 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.43
SignalNEUTRALModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-7.8%
Watford Rest
3 days
Middlesbrough Rest
2 days

Watford vs Middlesbrough: the result in context

Watford and Middlesbrough drew 0-0 in the Championship on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Middlesbrough tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 3.5 for Watford.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
16%6.45
X
23%4.80
2
61%1.43
Double Chance
1X
39%2.72
X2
84%1.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.62
No
42%2.17
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.73 = 2.87
Over 1.5
83%1.13
Over 2.5
61%1.48
Over 3.5
39%2.21
Under 1.5
17%5.30
Under 2.5
39%2.50
Under 3.5
61%1.64
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 6.9 = 11.7
Over 8.5
80%1.29
Over 9.5
71%1.55
Over 10.5
60%1.92
Under 8.5
20%3.12
Under 9.5
29%2.35
Under 10.5
40%1.82
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.83
Over 4.5
40%2.88
Under 3.5
40%1.83
Under 4.5
60%1.41

Match Events

14'Krépin Diatta INHaktab Omar Traore out
21'Callum BrittainFoul
43'Sam ByramFoul
45'Amario Cozier-Duberry INMax Arfsten out
59'Sebastian BerhalterFoul
66'Sebastian Berhalter INMyles Peart-Harris out
66'David Strelec INKyle Joseph out
71'Haktab Omar Traore
73'Jordan Zemura INMarc Bola out
73'Amin Nabizada INStephy Mavididi out
73'Mamadou Doumbia INLuca Kjerrumgaard out
76'Sam Byram INTommy Conway out
86'Jeremy Sarmiento INLeo Castledine out

Lineups

Watford
5-3-2Coach: A. Dionisi
Middlesbrough
4-3-3Coach: K. Hellberg
Avg rating6.57
Avg rating6.69
F. Ravaglia7.01F. Ravaglia
K. Diatta6.515K. Diatta
K. Keben6.84K. Keben
M. Pollock7.16M. Pollock
Branimir Mlačić6.629B. Mlačić
J. Zemura6.433J. Zemura
E. Kayembe6.739E. Kayembe
M. Payero6.622M. Payero
Iker Bravo6.817I. Bravo
Amin Nabizada6.221A. Nabizada
M. Doumbia6.420M. Doumbia
R. Vítek6.61R. Vítek
C. Brittain6.22C. Brittain
A. Phillips7.14A. Phillips
A. Malanda7.029A. Malanda
S. Byram6.33S. Byram
R. McGree6.88R. McGree
A. Morris7.210A. Morris
S. Berhalter6.86S. Berhalter
A. Cozier-Duberry6.511A. Cozier-Duberry
D. Strelec6.413D. Strelec
J. Sarmiento7.116J. Sarmiento

Watford Substitutes

51Travis Akomeah
26D. Bachmann
16M. Bola73'for Jordan Zemura6.6
9L. Kjerrumgaard73'for Mamadou Doumbia6.1
7O. Maamma
45S. Mavididi73'for Amin Nabizada6.9
23O. Traoré14'for Krépin Diatta71'6.1
11R. Vata
24S. Walker

Middlesbrough Substitutes

14M. Peart-Harris66'for Sebastian Berhalter7.0
30Neto Borges
22K. Joseph66'for David Strelec6.9
9T. Conway76'for Sam Byram6.1
19Leo Castledine86'for Jeremy Sarmiento6.5
31S. Brynn
18C. Barron
12L. Ayling
17M. Arfsten45'for Amario Cozier-Duberry6.7

Match Stats

WatfordMiddlesbrough
26%Ball Possession74%
5Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards3
8Total Shots18
1Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal7
4Shots Inside Box14
4Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots7
12Fouls9
4Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
226Total Passes669
175Passes Accurate601
9Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

WatfordWatford
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
1516Elo Rating 1730
1.20Attack 2.42
1.41Defense 1.65
44%Hit Rate 56%
13.1Shots per Game 21.7
3.9Shots on Target 7.5
3.5Corners per Game 7.0
3.2Cards per Game 0.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

WatfordWatford
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

WatfordWatford5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4Wins · 40%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship25/04/2026
MiddlesbroughWatford
51
Championship01/11/2025
WatfordMiddlesbrough
30
Championship15/02/2025
MiddlesbroughWatford
01
Championship05/10/2024
WatfordMiddlesbrough
21
Championship04/05/2024
MiddlesbroughWatford
31
Championship30/09/2023
WatfordMiddlesbrough
23
Championship28/01/2023
MiddlesbroughWatford
20
Championship30/08/2022
WatfordMiddlesbrough
21
Championship05/04/2021
MiddlesbroughWatford
11
Championship11/09/2020
WatfordMiddlesbrough
10

Referee Profile

Gavin Ward204 matches

3.76Cards per match
3.65Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gavin Ward3.76
Other referees3.80

3.76 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.80).

Cards come from 199 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BirminghamBirmingham1585228:14+1429WWWLW
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1585230:19+1129DLWWD
3Stoke CityStoke City1592424:18+629WWWDW
4WolvesWolves1584326:18+828DWWWD
5West BromWest Brom1584323:15+828WDWDW
6SwanseaSwansea1582522:18+426LLWLL
7SouthamptonSouthampton1584329:15+1424LDWWD
8QPRQPR1566324:18+624WDLWL
9West HamWest Ham1565437:23+1423LDLLW
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1564521:19+222LWWDW
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1564520:18+222LWDWD
12NorwichNorwich1570832:24+821WWWWL
13BlackburnBlackburn1563622:23-121WLLWL
14CardiffCardiff1546527:27018WDLWD
15WrexhamWrexham1546518:20-218DWLLW
16MillwallMillwall1553723:27-418LLWLD
17Bristol CityBristol City1553716:24-818LLWDL
18BoltonBolton1552820:29-917LWLLD
19CharltonCharlton1545613:23-1017WLLLL
20WatfordWatford1543813:23-1015DWLLW
21LincolnLincoln1543815:26-1115LLLWD
22BurnleyBurnley1517722:31-910LDDLL
23DerbyDerby1524914:30-1610WLLDL
24PrestonPreston15221113:30-178WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BirminghamBirmingham1528:1429
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1530:1929
3Stoke CityStoke City1524:1829
4WolvesWolves1526:1828
5West BromWest Brom1523:1528
6SwanseaSwansea1522:1826
7SouthamptonSouthampton1529:1524
8QPRQPR1524:1824
9West HamWest Ham1537:2323
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1521:1922
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1520:1822
12NorwichNorwich1532:2421
13BlackburnBlackburn1522:2321
14CardiffCardiff1527:2718
15WrexhamWrexham1518:2018
16MillwallMillwall1523:2718
17Bristol CityBristol City1516:2418
18BoltonBolton1520:2917
19CharltonCharlton1513:2317
20WatfordWatford1513:2315
21LincolnLincoln1515:2615
22BurnleyBurnley1522:3110
23DerbyDerby1514:3010
24PrestonPreston1513:308
PromotionRelegation

About the Watford vs Middlesbrough forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Watford and Middlesbrough in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Middlesbrough are 2nd and Watford 20th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Watford 13-23, Middlesbrough 30-19. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.