Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction

Cadiz
3-1
Finished
HT 0-1
AD Ceuta FC
Nuevo Mirandilla, Cadiz·Andres Fuentes Molina 25/10/2026
CadizCadiz
3-1
Finished
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-7.2%
Cadiz Rest
7 days
AD Ceuta FC Rest
7 days

Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC: the result in context

Cadiz beat AD Ceuta FC 3-1 in the Segunda División on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. AD Ceuta FC tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 5.0 for Cadiz.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.06
X
28%3.40
2
30%3.50
Double Chance
1X
70%1.27
X2
57%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.72
No
44%2.03
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.18 = 2.73
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
51%1.89
Over 3.5
30%3.25
Under 1.5
25%3.60
Under 2.5
49%1.91
Under 3.5
70%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.81
Over 9.5
50%2.14
Over 10.5
39%2.69
Under 8.5
38%2.00
Under 9.5
50%1.63
Under 10.5
61%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.5 = 5
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
56%1.48
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
44%2.55

Match Events

45'Vladyslav Kopotun INÁlvaro García Pascual out
45+1'Yann Bodiger(Penalty)
45+3'Dilan ZárateFoul
49'Álvaro García PascualFoul
51'Ibon Ignacio Sánchez Océn
64'Beñat de Jesús DomingoHandball
65'Edgar Sevikyan INCarlos Hernández out
70'Albert CaparrosFoul
71'Antonio Cordero(Penalty)
75'Albert Caparros INKialy Abdoul Kone out
75'Cedric Teguia INJordi Escobar out
75'Yann Bodiger INAlejandro Camacho Ramírez out
81'Sergio Arribas PrietoTime wasting
83'Beñat de Jesús Domingo INCristian Gutiérrez out
83'Antonio Cordero INJuan Díaz Peregrina out
83'Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi INJavier Ontiveros out
88'José Antonio Abad Martínez INUmaru Konare out
89'Ibon Ignacio Sánchez Océn INBorja Vazquez out
90+1'José Juan Romero GilDissent
90+2'Borja VazquezFoul
90+3'Umaru KonareDissent
90+5'Borja VazquezAssist: Álvaro García Pascual

Lineups

Cadiz
4-4-2Coach: Borja Jiménez
AD Ceuta FC
4-3-3Coach: José Juan Romero
Avg rating6.49
Avg rating6.41
Jokin Ezkieta6.613J. Ezkieta
Beñat de Jesús6.02B. de Jesús
B. Kovačević6.314B. Kovačević
Manu Fernández6.46M. Fernández
Sergio Arribas5.83S. Arribas
Ibon Sánchez7.624I. Sánchez
D. A. Zarate Hidalgo5.928D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
Damián Rodríguez6.123D. Rodríguez
Antonio Cordero7.216A. Cordero
Urko Izeta6.319U. Izeta
V. Kopotun6.521V. Kopotun
Pedro López5.71P. López
Toni Abad6.62T. Abad
Albert Caparrós6.04A. Caparrós
Adrián Lapeña6.25A. Lapeña
Redru6.416Redru
Álex Meléndez6.920Á. Meléndez
Y. Bodiger7.314Y. Bodiger
Marino Illescas6.510M. Illescas
E. Sevikyan6.719E. Sevikyan
Kuki6.18Kuki
Cedric Teguia6.411C. Teguia

Cadiz Substitutes

27J. Diaz Peregrina83'for Antonio Cordero6.2
5M. Doué
9Álvaro García45'for Vladyslav Kopotun49'7.1
1David Gil
22Cristian Gutiérrez83'for Beñat de Jesús Domingo6.4
17A. Moueffek
10Javi Ontiveros83'for Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi6.2
18Jandro Orellana
15K. Toibibou
8E. Aghama
31N. Ukwuije
20Borja Vazquez89'for Ibon Ignacio Sánchez Océn90+2'90+5'7.2

AD Ceuta FC Substitutes

7Alejandro Camacho Ramírez75'for Yann Bodiger5.9
9Jordi Escobar75'for Cedric Teguia6.3
6Carlos Hernández65'for Edgar Sevikyan6.5
27U. Konare88'for José Antonio Abad Martínez90+3'6.3
22K. Koné75'for Albert Caparros6.8
3José Matos
17Mawuli Mensah
32Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro
18Alex Petxarroman
29O. Sadik
13Guille Vallejo
28Abraham Bueno Espinosa

Match Stats

CadizAD Ceuta FC
32%Ball Possession68%
3Corner Kicks10
5Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots24
5Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box17
2Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots12
20Fouls7
4Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
248Total Passes521
164Passes Accurate439
7Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

CadizCadiz
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
1539Elo Rating 1503
1.09Attack 1.33
1.78Defense 1.50
19%Hit Rate 17%
12.5Shots per Game 20.1
3.5Shots on Target 5.3
5.0Corners per Game 7.8
2.4Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CadizCadiz
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

CadizCadiz0Wins · 0%
Draws133%
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC2Wins · 67%
2.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs29/07/2026
CadizAD Ceuta FC
13
Segunda División28/03/2026
AD Ceuta FCCadiz
21
Segunda División28/09/2025
CadizAD Ceuta FC
00

Referee Profile

Andres Fuentes Molina114 matches

5.42Cards per match
5.11Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
25.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andres Fuentes Molina5.42
Other referees5.20

5.42 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).

Cards come from 92 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cadiz and AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Cadiz are 18th and AD Ceuta FC 21st, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Cadiz 14-14, AD Ceuta FC 10-25. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.