Coritiba vs Corinthians Prediction

Coritiba
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Corinthians
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Curitiba·Anderson Daronco, Brazil 24/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.48
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-0.8%
Value Analysis
56%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.08
SignalNEUTRALModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+10.9%
Coritiba Rest
7 days
Corinthians Rest
2 days

Coritiba vs Corinthians: result, form and history

Coritiba beat Corinthians 2-1 in the Serie A on 23 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Corinthians had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Coritiba.

Corinthians have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game. Referee Anderson Daronco averages 4.49 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%3.00
X
29%3.00
2
31%2.60
Double Chance
1X
69%1.48
X2
60%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%2.08
No
44%1.69
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 1.04 = 2.28
Over 1.5
71%1.51
Over 2.5
45%2.62
Over 3.5
22%5.00
Under 1.5
29%2.54
Under 2.5
55%1.48
Under 3.5
78%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.60
Over 9.5
47%2.01
Over 10.5
35%2.50
Under 8.5
41%2.18
Under 9.5
53%1.73
Under 10.5
65%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
69%1.25
Over 4.5
50%1.65
Under 3.5
31%3.17
Under 4.5
50%2.13

Match Events

40'Pedro RochaAssist: Joao Pedro Chermont
42'Thiago Santos
42'Breno Bidon
46'P. Milans INM. Pereira out
46'Pedro Raul INM. Depay out
62'Pedro Rocha INPaulo Roberto out
62'Thiago Santos INTissi out
67'TissiUnsportsmanlike conduct
67'M. PereiraUnsportsmanlike conduct
71'Breno Bidon INGui Negao out
72'A. Carrillo INDieguinho out
72'J. Lavega INFabinho out
75'Paulo RobertoAssist: Joao Pedro Chermont
82'Kaio Cesar INJ. Lingard out
84'Josue INFernando Sobral out
84'Joao Pedro Chermont INLucas Taverna out
90+3'RanieleAssist: Allan

Lineups

Coritiba
4-2-3-1Coach: Seabra Fernando
Corinthians
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando Diniz
Avg rating6.98
Avg rating6.53
Pedro Morisco6.71P. Morisco
João Pedro Chermont7.644J. Pedro Chermont
Tiago Cóser7.223T. Cóser
Jacy MaranhãoC7.255J. Maranhão
Bruno Melo6.626B. Melo
Thiago Santos6.921T. Santos
Sebastian Gomez7.719S. Gomez
Joaquín Lavega6.97J. Lavega
Josué7.010Josué
Breno Lopes6.677B. Lopes
Pedro Rocha7.732P. Rocha
Kauê5.951Kauê
Pedro Milans6.220P. Milans
Gabriel Paulista6.23G. Paulista
Gustavo HenriqueC6.913G. Henrique
Fabrizio Angileri6.026F. Angileri
Raniele7.214Raniele
Allan7.529Allan
Kaio César6.637K. César
Breno Bidon6.37B. Bidon
André Carrillo7.219A. Carrillo
Pedro Raul6.318P. Raul

Coritiba Substitutes

50Vitor Gonçalves Tissi6.5
18Paulo Roberto62'for Pedro Rocha75'7.3
28Fabinho72'for J. Lavega6.7
86Lucas Taverna84'for Joao Pedro Chermont6.5
88Fernando Sobral84'for Josue6.5
13Keiller
3Maicon
16João Almeida
6Felipe Jonatan
4Rodrigo Moledo
78Renato Marques
99Rodrigo Rodrigues

Corinthians Substitutes

23Matheus Pereira46'for P. Milans67'6.6
10Memphis Depay46'for Pedro Raul6.3
56Gui Negão71'for Breno Bidon6.2
61Dieguinho72'for A. Carrillo6.5
77Jesse Lingard82'for Kaio Cesar6.6
40Felipe Longo
4João Pedro Tchoca
55Iago Machado
46Hugo
35Charles
54Luiz Gustavo Bahia
80Alex Santana

Match Stats

CoritibaCorinthians
35%Ball Possession65%
4Corner Kicks14
2Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots7
8Fouls9
5Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
314Total Passes552
250Passes Accurate494
80%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

CoritibaCoritiba
CorinthiansCorinthians
1599Elo Rating 1629
0.60Attack 1.15
2.23Defense 1.69
23%Hit Rate 23%
12.5Shots per Game 20.4
3.6Shots on Target 5.1
5.1Corners per Game 5.6
2.4Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CoritibaCoritiba
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CorinthiansCorinthians
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

CoritibaCoritiba1Wins · 20%
Draws120%
CorinthiansCorinthians3Wins · 60%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

Serie A12/03/2026
CorinthiansCoritiba
02
Serie A07/12/2023
CoritibaCorinthians
02
Serie A13/08/2023
CorinthiansCoritiba
31
Serie A08/11/2022
CoritibaCorinthians
22
Serie A21/07/2022
CorinthiansCoritiba
31

Recent Form

CoritibaCoritiba
3W3D4L
16/08/2026
Sao PauloCoritiba
11
D
09/08/2026
CoritibaChapecoense-sc
21
W
31/07/2026
CoritibaCruzeiro
01
L
26/07/2026
RB BragantinoCoritiba
00
D
23/07/2026
CoritibaPalmeiras
13
L
30/05/2026
FlamengoCoritiba
30
L
26/05/2026
CoritibaBahia
32
W
17/05/2026
SantosCoritiba
03
W
14/05/2026
CoritibaSantos
02
L
09/05/2026
CoritibaInternacional
22
D

Referee Profile

Anderson Daronco308 matches

4.49Cards per match
4.25Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anderson Daronco4.49
Other referees5.20

4.49 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).

Cards come from 240 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
PromotionRelegation

About the Coritiba vs Corinthians forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Coritiba and Corinthians in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Coritiba are 12th and Corinthians 17th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Coritiba 40-51, Corinthians 36-42. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.