Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro Prediction

Vasco DA Gama
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro·Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+0.5%
Vasco DA Gama Rest
2 days
Cruzeiro Rest
4 days

Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro: result, form and history

Vasco DA Gama beat Cruzeiro 3-1 in the Serie A on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.30
X
33%3.25
2
27%3.00
Double Chance
1X
73%1.36
X2
60%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.75
No
44%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.1 = 2.43
Over 1.5
73%1.30
Over 2.5
46%2.03
Over 3.5
24%3.50
Under 1.5
27%3.25
Under 2.5
54%1.75
Under 3.5
76%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.6 = 9.3
Over 8.5
55%1.50
Over 9.5
42%1.93
Over 10.5
29%2.36
Under 8.5
45%2.45
Under 9.5
58%1.82
Under 10.5
71%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
43%-
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
57%-

Match Events

24'Joao MarceloHolding
27'AdsonRoughing
33'Tche Tche
55'Lucas FreitasAssist: Lucas Piton
62'L. Rodriguez INMatheus Pereira out
62'J. Costa INWesley out
70'Adson INJ. Rodriguez out
79'S. Sosa INCauan Barros out
79'F. Colidio INDavid out
79'Kenji INFelipe Morais out
79'Ze Lucas INLucas Silva out
84'N. Villarreal INWanderson out
85'A. Gomez INM. Hinestroza out
85'Tche Tche INRamon Rique out
90+2'DavidAssist: Ramon Rique
90+4'Cauan BarrosHolding
90+5'Felipe MoraisAssist: Matheus Pereira

Lineups

Vasco DA Gama
4-1-4-1Coach: Pedro Emanuel
Cruzeiro
4-2-3-1Coach: Jorge Artur
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.72
Léo Jardim6.31L. Jardim
Paulo Henrique6.696P. Henrique
Carlos Cuesta6.646C. Cuesta
Lucas Freitas7.343L. Freitas
Lucas Piton9.26L. Piton
Santiago Sosa7.35S. Sosa
Adson5.628Adson
Tchê Tchê8.33T. Tchê
Thiago MendesC7.723T. Mendes
Andrés Gómez7.711A. Gómez
Facundo Colidio6.59F. Colidio
Otávio Costa7.681O. Costa
William FurtadoC6.012W. Furtado
João Marcelo7.543J. Marcelo
Jonathan Jesus7.534J. Jesus
Gabriel Rojas5.927G. Rojas
Zé Lucas7.35Z. Lucas
Matheus Henrique6.57M. Henrique
João Costa6.367J. Costa
Luciano Rodríguez6.397L. Rodríguez
Kaique Kenji6.370K. Kenji
Néiser Villarreal6.222N. Villarreal

Vasco DA Gama Substitutes

2Puma Rodríguez70'for Adson6.3
88Cauan Barros79'for S. Sosa90+4'6.3
7David79'for F. Colidio90+2'6.9
18Marino Hinestroza85'for A. Gomez6.3
83Ramon Rique85'for Tche Tche7.3
13Daniel Fuzato
4Alan Saldivia
82Riquelme Avellar
80Bruno André Azevedo Ribeiro
17Nuno Moreira
77Claudio Spinelli

Cruzeiro Substitutes

10Matheus Pereira62'for L. Rodriguez7.3
20Wesley62'for J. Costa6.7
38Felipe Morais79'for Kenji90+5'7.2
16Lucas Silva79'for Ze Lucas6.6
94Wanderson84'for N. Villarreal6.3
1Cássio
25Lucas Villalba
2Kauã Moraes
23Fagner
11Marquinhos
29Lucas Romero
19Kaio Jorge

Match Stats

Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro
46%Ball Possession54%
11Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots11
9Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal1
17Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box7
6Blocked Shots4
15Fouls12
1Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves7
386Total Passes470
311Passes Accurate400
81%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
CruzeiroCruzeiro
1722Elo Rating 1798
1.29Attack 1.89
0.71Defense 1.95
37%Hit Rate 83%
15.5Shots per Game 16.6
3.4Shots on Target 7.4
4.1Corners per Game 6.0
1.2Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CruzeiroCruzeiro
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2Wins · 20%
Draws550%
CruzeiroCruzeiro3Wins · 30%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A16/03/2026
CruzeiroVasco DA Gama
33
Serie A27/09/2025
Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro
20
Serie A27/04/2025
CruzeiroVasco DA Gama
10
Serie A29/09/2024
CruzeiroVasco DA Gama
11
Serie A16/06/2024
Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro
00
Serie A22/11/2023
CruzeiroVasco DA Gama
22
Serie A08/07/2023
Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro
01
Serie B22/09/2022
CruzeiroVasco DA Gama
30
Serie B12/06/2022
Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro
10
Serie B19/09/2021
Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro
11
5.19Cards per match
4.94Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho5.19
Other referees5.07

5.19 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.07).

Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo33227468:28+4073WWWWD
2PalmeirasPalmeiras332010356:22+3470DWWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro331761052:46+657WWWLW
4FluminenseFluminense33159952:42+1054WLLLW
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense33159950:40+1054LDLWD
6BahiaBahia331411848:42+653WDLWL
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG331481144:39+550LLWWD
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo331271439:39043LDWWL
11CoritibaCoritiba331191340:50-1042WLLDL
12MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
13BotafogoBotafogo331091445:53-839LLWDL
14Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama321081440:49-938LWLDW
15VitoriaVitoria331081535:48-1338LDDLW
16GremioGremio339101437:44-737WWLDD
17CorinthiansCorinthians33991536:42-636WLDLL
18InternacionalInternacional338111437:42-535LWLDW
19RemoRemo336111636:51-1529WLDDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3368:2873
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3356:2270
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3352:4657
4FluminenseFluminense3352:4254
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3350:4054
6BahiaBahia3348:4253
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3344:3950
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3339:3943
11CoritibaCoritiba3340:5042
12MirassolMirassol3439:4840
13BotafogoBotafogo3345:5339
14Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3240:4938
15VitoriaVitoria3335:4838
16GremioGremio3337:4437
17CorinthiansCorinthians3336:4236
18InternacionalInternacional3337:4235
19RemoRemo3336:5129
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
PromotionRelegation

About the Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vasco DA Gama and Cruzeiro in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Cruzeiro are 3rd and Vasco DA Gama 14th, 19 points apart. League goal record so far: Vasco DA Gama 40-49, Cruzeiro 52-46. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cruzeiro have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.