Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro Prediction

Vasco DA Gama
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro· Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalNEUTRALModel42%RiskMediumGap+0.5%
Vasco DA Gama Rest
2 days
Cruzeiro Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.30
X
33%3.25
2
27%3.00
Double Chance
1X
73%1.36
X2
60%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.75
No
44%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.1 = 2.43
Over 1.5
73%1.30
Over 2.5
46%2.03
Over 3.5
24%3.50
Under 1.5
27%3.25
Under 2.5
54%1.75
Under 3.5
76%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.6 = 9.3
Over 8.5
55%1.50
Over 9.5
42%1.93
Over 10.5
29%2.36
Under 8.5
45%2.45
Under 9.5
58%1.82
Under 10.5
71%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
43%-
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
57%-

Match Events

24'Joao MarceloHolding
27'AdsonRoughing
33'Tche Tche
55'Lucas FreitasAssist: Lucas Piton
62'L. Rodriguez INMatheus Pereira out
62'J. Costa INWesley out
70'Adson INJ. Rodriguez out
79'S. Sosa INCauan Barros out
79'F. Colidio INDavid out
79'Kenji INFelipe Morais out
79'Ze Lucas INLucas Silva out
84'N. Villarreal INWanderson out
85'A. Gomez INM. Hinestroza out
85'Tche Tche INRamon Rique out
90+2'DavidAssist: Ramon Rique
90+4'Cauan BarrosHolding
90+5'Felipe MoraisAssist: Matheus Pereira

Lineups

Vasco DA Gama
4-1-4-1Coach: Pedro Emanuel
Cruzeiro
4-2-3-1Coach: Jorge Artur
Léo Jardim1L. JardimLéo Jardim
Paulo Henrique96P. HenriquePaulo Henrique
Carlos Cuesta46C. CuestaCarlos Cuesta
Lucas Freitas43L. FreitasLucas Freitas
Lucas Piton6L. PitonLucas Piton
Santiago Sosa5S. SosaSantiago Sosa
Adson28AdsonAdson
Tchê Tchê3T. TchêTchê Tchê
Thiago Mendes23T. MendesThiago Mendes
Andrés Gómez11A. GómezAndrés Gómez
Facundo Colidio9F. ColidioFacundo Colidio
Otávio Costa81O. CostaOtávio Costa
William Furtado12W. FurtadoWilliam Furtado
João Marcelo43J. MarceloJoão Marcelo
Jonathan Jesus34J. JesusJonathan Jesus
Gabriel Rojas27G. RojasGabriel Rojas
Zé Lucas5Z. LucasZé Lucas
Matheus Henrique7M. HenriqueMatheus Henrique
João Costa67J. CostaJoão Costa
Luciano Rodríguez97L. RodríguezLuciano Rodríguez
Kaique Kenji70K. KenjiKaique Kenji
Néiser Villarreal22N. VillarrealNéiser Villarreal

Vasco DA Gama Substitutes

2Puma RodríguezD
88Cauan BarrosM
7DavidF
18Marino HinestrozaF
83Ramon RiqueM
13Daniel FuzatoG
4Alan SaldiviaD
82Riquelme AvellarD
80Bruno André Azevedo RibeiroD
17Nuno MoreiraM
77Claudio SpinelliF

Cruzeiro Substitutes

10Matheus PereiraM
20WesleyF
38Felipe MoraisM
16Lucas SilvaM
94WandersonF
1CássioG
25Lucas VillalbaD
2Kauã MoraesD
23FagnerD
11MarquinhosF
29Lucas RomeroM
19Kaio JorgeF

Match Stats

Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro
46%Ball Possession54%
11Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots11
9Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal1
17Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box7
6Blocked Shots4
15Fouls12
1Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves7
386Total Passes470
311Passes Accurate400
81%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
CruzeiroCruzeiro
1711Elo Rating 1752
1.29Attack 1.46
2.39Defense 1.20
58%Hit Rate 23%
15.9Shots per Game 12.6
5.3Shots on Target 4.4
5.7Corners per Game 3.7
3.0Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.1 in first half)
CruzeiroCruzeiro
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Vasco DA Gama 23%Draw 58%19% Cruzeiro
2.6Avg Goals
44%BTTS Rate
27%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil · 10 matches analysed

4.9Avg Yellows
5.2Avg Cards
26.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 82% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo27176453:22+3157WWWWL
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27168347:21+2656WDDWL
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741:31+1046DLDWD
4BahiaBahia271210542:33+946WWWWD
5FluminenseFluminense27129641:35+645LWDWW
6CruzeiroCruzeiro27126939:39042LWLWW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG26116935:31+439WLWDW
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937:38-138DLWWD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032:29+336DLLWD
10SantosSantos2698939:39035WWWDW
11Sao PauloSao Paulo26961131:30+133LWWLD
12VitoriaVitoria27961227:39-1233DWLLW
13CorinthiansCorinthians27881128:29-132LLLLL
14BotafogoBotafogo26881038:41-332DDLLL
15MirassolMirassol27781231:42-1129DWLDD
16GremioGremio26771228:35-728LLWLL
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama26771229:41-1228WLWLL
18InternacionalInternacional276101130:35-528WLLDD
19RemoRemo27581431:45-1423LLLLD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc26381528:52-2417LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo2753:2257
2PalmeirasPalmeiras2747:2156
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2741:3146
4BahiaBahia2742:3346
5FluminenseFluminense2741:3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro2739:3942
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2635:3139
8CoritibaCoritiba2737:3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2632:2936
10SantosSantos2639:3935
11Sao PauloSao Paulo2631:3033
12VitoriaVitoria2727:3933
13CorinthiansCorinthians2728:2932
14BotafogoBotafogo2638:4132
15MirassolMirassol2731:4229
16GremioGremio2628:3528
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2629:4128
18InternacionalInternacional2730:3528
19RemoRemo2731:4523
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc2628:5217
PromotionRelegation

Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

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Key Factors for This Match

Vasco DA Gama and Cruzeiro have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.6 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.