Strasbourg vs Auxerre Prediction

Strasbourg
5-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Auxerre
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg·Guillaume Paradis 01/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
Strasbourg Rest
6 days
Auxerre Rest
6 days

Strasbourg vs Auxerre: the result in context

Strasbourg beat Auxerre 5-1 in the Ligue 1 on 1 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Auxerre had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Strasbourg.

Strasbourg have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 1.8 goals a game. Auxerre tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 2.9 for Strasbourg.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.84
X
24%3.92
2
21%3.99
Double Chance
1X
79%1.25
X2
46%1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.55
No
39%2.37
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 1.18 = 3.02
Over 1.5
81%1.17
Over 2.5
61%1.59
Over 3.5
40%2.45
Under 1.5
19%4.72
Under 2.5
39%2.40
Under 3.5
60%1.55
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.49
Over 9.5
48%1.88
Over 10.5
37%2.35
Under 8.5
41%2.40
Under 9.5
52%1.87
Under 10.5
63%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.1 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.83
Over 4.5
42%2.63
Under 3.5
38%1.87
Under 4.5
58%1.47

Match Events

39'Lamine SyFoul
41'Dario EssugoAssist: Joaquín Martínez Gauna
44'Hugo Filipe Carvalho de OliveiraDissent
51'William StillDissent
55'Martial GodoAssist: Gessime Yassine
59'Martial Godo INSebastian Nanasi out
60'Christ MakossoFoul
62'Conrad Harder(Penalty)
63'Danny Namaso INArthur Piedfort out
63'Kevin Danois INLamfia Dioubaté out
63'Lamine Sy INRayan Mandengue out
63'Christ Makosso INMarvin Senaya out
66'Giovanni Reyna INDiogo Sousa out
66'Ismael Doukoure INJeyland Mitchell out
68'Cameron ArcherAssist: Romain Faivre
72'Paul NardiDissent
73'Naouirou Ahamada INYoussef Khoudda out
74'Lamfia DioubatéAbusive Language
77'Gessime YassineAssist: Sebastian Nanasi
78'Dario Essugo INPape Demba Diop out
78'Conrad Harder INJacobo Ortega out
85'Gessime YassineAssist: Joaquín Martínez Gauna
87'Romain FaivreFoul

Lineups

Strasbourg
4-3-3Coach: Hugo Oliveira
Auxerre
3-4-2-1Coach: W. Still
Avg rating7.31
Avg rating5.75
F. Jörgensen7.01F. Jörgensen
L. Høgsberg6.824L. Høgsberg
I. Doukouré6.66I. Doukouré
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly7.131A. Karim Coulibaly
Oso8.136Oso
Dário Essugo8.214D. Essugo
S. El Mourabet6.829S. El Mourabet
G. Reyna6.510G. Reyna
Gessime Yassine9.680G. Yassine
C. Harder7.040C. Harder
M. Godo8.220M. Godo
P. Nardi5.51P. Nardi
C. Makosso5.415C. Makosso
A. Tuanzebe6.14A. Tuanzebe
C. Akpa6.292C. Akpa
L. Sy5.027L. Sy
N. Ahamada5.88N. Ahamada
K. Danois5.15K. Danois
F. Oppegård5.622F. Oppegård
R. Faivre6.421R. Faivre
D. Namaso5.810D. Namaso
C. Archer7.49C. Archer

Strasbourg Substitutes

23Diogo Sousa66'for Giovanni Reyna7.2
12M. Piekutowski
30J. Ortega78'for Conrad Harder6.4
11S. Nanasi59'for Martial Godo7.6
4J. Mitchell66'for Ismael Doukoure6.9
26O. Kellyman
21P. Diop78'for Dario Essugo7.1
16G. Antwi
7S. Amo-Ameyaw

Auxerre Substitutes

23M. Diop
34L. Dioubate63'for Kevin Danois74'4.9
20S. Diomandé
47Youssef Khoudda73'replaced by Naouirou Ahamada
32R. Mandengue63'for Lamine Sy5.3
46A. Piedfort63'for Danny Namaso6.0
29M. Senaya63'for Christ Makosso5.4
13T. Siwe
77Aristide Zossou

Match Stats

StrasbourgAuxerre
64%Ball Possession36%
5Corner Kicks0
0Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
19Total Shots6
6Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box2
7Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots1
11Fouls18
3Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
579Total Passes324
515Passes Accurate256
17Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

StrasbourgStrasbourg
AuxerreAuxerre
1744Elo Rating 1711
0.73Attack 1.62
0.64Defense 1.56
0%Hit Rate 54%
11.9Shots per Game 12.2
3.9Shots on Target 5.3
2.9Corners per Game 5.5
1.9Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

StrasbourgStrasbourg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AuxerreAuxerre
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

StrasbourgStrasbourg4Wins · 66%
Draws117%
AuxerreAuxerre1Wins · 17%
1.8Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Ligue 107/03/2026
AuxerreStrasbourg
00
Ligue 129/10/2025
StrasbourgAuxerre
30
Ligue 102/03/2025
AuxerreStrasbourg
01
Ligue 105/01/2025
StrasbourgAuxerre
31
Ligue 119/03/2023
StrasbourgAuxerre
20
Ligue 127/08/2022
AuxerreStrasbourg
10

Referee Profile

Guillaume Paradis143 matches

4.24Cards per match
3.96Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
27.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Guillaume Paradis4.24
Other referees3.91

4.24 cards a match, 0.33 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.91).

Cards come from 131 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain962121:10+1120WWWWW
2LilleLille953112:6+618WDDWL
3LyonLyon952215:7+817WLWLW
4Paris FCParis FC952216:10+617WLWLW
5RennesRennes951320:19+116LWLWL
6MarseilleMarseille950420:13+715WWWWL
7MonacoMonaco943212:10+215LDLDW
8NiceNice942313:12+114WWLWW
9LensLens941416:13+313LWWWL
10LorientLorient83327:6+112DWWLD
11ToulouseToulouse924312:13-110LDWDW
12StrasbourgStrasbourg931517:19-210WLLLL
13AuxerreAuxerre931513:23-1010LDWLW
14Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29823314:12+29LDWLL
15AngersAngers92259:17-88LDLLW
16Estac TroyesEstac Troyes92257:16-98WDLLL
17Le MansLe Mans914411:18-77LDLLW
18Le HavreLe Havre90279:20-112LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain921:1020
2LilleLille912:618
3LyonLyon915:717
4Paris FCParis FC916:1017
5RennesRennes920:1916
6MarseilleMarseille920:1315
7MonacoMonaco912:1015
8NiceNice913:1214
9LensLens916:1313
10LorientLorient87:612
11ToulouseToulouse912:1310
12StrasbourgStrasbourg917:1910
13AuxerreAuxerre913:2310
14Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29814:129
15AngersAngers99:178
16Estac TroyesEstac Troyes97:168
17Le MansLe Mans911:187
18Le HavreLe Havre99:202
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Strasbourg vs Auxerre forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Strasbourg and Auxerre in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Strasbourg (12th) and Auxerre (13th) are level on 10 points. League goal record so far: Strasbourg 17-19, Auxerre 13-23. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.