Vitoria vs Cruzeiro Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 28
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
Vitoria Rest
7 days
Cruzeiro Rest
7 days
Vitoria vs Cruzeiro: result, form and history
Match Forecasts
Match Result
132%2.95
X28%3.40
240%2.35
Double Chance
1X60%1.55
X268%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes58%1.65
No42%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.28 = 2.53
Over 1.575%1.25
Over 2.552%1.86
Over 3.530%3.10
Under 1.525%3.60
Under 2.548%1.94
Under 3.570%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.6 = 10.3
Over 8.567%1.42
Over 9.555%1.74
Over 10.540%2.19
Under 8.533%2.56
Under 9.545%2.00
Under 10.560%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.570%1.45
Over 4.551%1.93
Under 3.530%2.63
Under 4.549%1.80
Match Events
39'Carlos Renê de Sousa FerreiraAssist: Matheuzinho
41'Jonathan JesusFoul
45'Fagner INWilliam out
45'Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira INFelipe Morais out
45'Matheusinho INEmanuel Brítez out
45'Caíque Gonçalves INZé Vitor out
46'Keny arroyoAssist: Kaio Jorge
56'Gabriel Rojas INLucas Villalba out
56'Zé Lucas INMatheus Henrique out
66'Lucas VillalbaAssist: Keny arroyo
69'Erick INLucas Silva out
78'GersonFoul
81'Gerson INFabrício Bruno out
83'Matheuzinho INRenato Kayzer out
83'Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira INbruno alex out
87'Felipe MoraisFoul
90+7'Matheus PereiraAssist: Keny arroyo
Lineups
VitoriaCruzeiro
4-2-3-1Coach: Artur JorgeAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Arcanjo
98Mateusinho
25Cacá
36L. Cândido
83Jamerson
6E. Martínez
95Caíque
33Erick
10Matheuzinho
12D. Tarzia
91Rene
81O. Eleodoro Rezende Costa
23Fágner
43J. Marcelo
34Jonathan
27G. Rojas
8Gerson
5Z. Lucas
99K. Arroyo
10M. Pereira
20W. Gassova
19K. JorgeVitoria Substitutes
2E. Brítez45'for Matheusinho
9Alex Bruno83'for Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira
26Edenilson
23Fabrício
20Lucas Silva69'for Erick
7Marinho
8T. Pochettino
16Rúben Ismael
79Renato Kayzer83'for Matheuzinho
71Yuri Sena
88Zé Vitor45'for Caíque Gonçalves
3Darlan Silva Dutra
Cruzeiro Substitutes
12William45'for Fagner
94Wanderson
6M. Viña
25L. Villalba56'for Gabriel Rojas66'
97L. Rodríguez
7Matheus Henrique56'for Zé Lucas
16Lucas Silva
38Felipe Morais45'for Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira87'
15Fabrício Bruno81'for Gerson
67João Gabriel e Costa Cesco
9Bruno Rodrigues
1Cássio
Match Stats
VitoriaCruzeiro 43%Ball Possession57%
8Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards3
21Total Shots13
8Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box8
13Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots4
10Fouls19
4Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves6
397Total Passes520
317Passes Accurate458
18Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
VitoriaCruzeiro1604Elo Rating 1809
1.15Attack 2.18
1.71Defense 1.57
14%Hit Rate 86%
10.2Shots per Game 17.0
3.6Shots on Target 7.3
3.0Corners per Game 5.5
1.9Cards per Game 2.5
Game State Tendencies
Vitoria- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cruzeiro- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Vitoria1Wins · 14%Draws343%
Cruzeiro3Wins · 43%
3Wins · 43%3.1Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
86%3+ goals6 of 7
Previous meetings
02/04/2026CruzeiroVitoria30
01/11/2025CruzeiroVitoria31
13/06/2025VitoriaCruzeiro00
20/08/2024VitoriaCruzeiro22
28/04/2024CruzeiroVitoria31
14/11/2021VitoriaCruzeiro30
12/08/2021CruzeiroVitoria22
Recent Form
Vitoria3W1D6L
13/09/2026
MirassolVitoriaVitoria
GremioVitoria
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MGVitoriaVitoria
Bahia
FlamengoVitoriaVitoria
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico ParanaenseVitoria
MirassolVitoria22
D08/09/2026VitoriaGremio10
W03/09/2026VitoriaVasco DA Gama02
L29/08/2026Atletico-MGVitoria21
L27/08/2026Vasco DA GamaVitoria
23/08/2026Vasco DA GamaVitoria10
LVitoriaBahia02
L16/08/2026Vitoria
Botafogo
10/08/2026VitoriaBotafogo10
WFlamengoVitoria20
L07/08/2026VitoriaAtletico Paranaense40
W04/08/2026Atletico ParanaenseVitoria20
LCruzeiro4W2D4L
13/09/2026
SantosCruzeiroAtletico-MGCruzeiroVasco DA GamaCruzeiroCruzeiroAtletico-MGCruzeiroFlamengoFlamengoCruzeiro
CorinthiansCruzeiroCruzeiroFlamengoCruzeiroMirassol
SantosCruzeiro21
L06/09/2026CruzeiroAtletico Paranaense
02/09/2026CruzeiroAtletico Paranaense31
WAtletico-MGCruzeiro21
L30/08/2026Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro31
L26/08/2026CruzeiroAtletico-MG11
D23/08/2026CruzeiroFlamengo21
W20/08/2026FlamengoCruzeiro21
L17/08/2026CorinthiansCruzeiro12
W13/08/2026CruzeiroFlamengo11
D09/08/2026CruzeiroMirassol31
WReferee Profile
4.59Cards per match
4.29Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.59 cards a match, 0.49 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.08).
Cards come from 140 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | +42 | 76 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | 73 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | +7 | 60 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:42 | +13 | 57 | WWLLL |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | +8 | 54 | LLDLW |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | +5 | 53 | LWDLW |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | +4 | 50 | LLLWW |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | +5 | 47 | WWLDW |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | +1 | 47 | LDDWL |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 44 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 42 | WLLWD |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 | LWLLD |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 | WLWLD |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 | WLDWL |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:51 | -16 | 38 | LLDDL |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 | WLWLD |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 | DWLDL |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | -9 | 37 | LWWLD |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | -20 | 29 | LWLDD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | -35 | 21 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 55:48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 55:42 | 57 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 50:45 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 33:68 | 21 |
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About the Vitoria vs Cruzeiro forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Vitoria and Cruzeiro in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Cruzeiro are 3rd and Vitoria 15th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: Vitoria 35-51, Cruzeiro 55-48. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.