Colombia vs Ghana Prediction

Colombia
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Ghana
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City·Clement Turpin, France 04/07/2026
ColombiaColombia
1-0
Finished
GhanaGhana

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.5 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.91
SignalNEUTRALModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
Colombia Rest
6 days
Ghana Rest
6 days

Colombia vs Ghana: the result in context

Colombia beat Ghana 1-0 in the World Cup on 4 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Colombia had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Ghana.

Referee Clement Turpin averages 3.58 cards a game, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.43
X
29%4.30
2
11%8.00
Double Chance
1X
89%1.08
X2
40%2.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.25
No
47%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.03 = 2.55
Over 1.5
73%1.31
Over 2.5
45%2.00
Over 3.5
25%3.50
Under 1.5
27%3.25
Under 2.5
55%1.80
Under 3.5
75%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.4 = 9.4
Over 8.5
55%1.91
Over 9.5
46%2.49
Over 10.5
33%3.30
Under 8.5
45%1.83
Under 9.5
54%1.47
Under 10.5
67%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.7 = 3.2
Over 3.5
41%2.58
Over 4.5
23%3.65
Under 3.5
59%1.44
Under 4.5
77%1.25

Match Events

8'J. Cordoba INL. Suarez out
12'J. AriasTripping
13'M. Senaya INA. Seidu out
14'J. AriasAssist: L. Suarez
46'J. Rodriguez INR. Rios out
49'C. YirenkyiHolding
56'Goal Disallowed - offsideL. Diaz
62'I. Williams INI. Fatawu out
62'K. Sibo INE. Owusu out
66'I. FatawuUnsportsmanlike conduct
73'J. Arias INJ. Quintero out
76'A. SeiduTripping
78'R. RiosTripping
79'J. Ayew INE. Nuamah out
79'C. Yirenkyi INP. Adu out
90'L. Diaz INJ. Campaz out

Lineups

Colombia
4-3-3Coach: Nestor Lorenzo
Ghana
4-1-4-1Coach: Carlos Queiroz
Avg rating7.13
Avg rating6.76
Camilo Vargas6.612C. Vargas
Daniel Muñoz7.72D. Muñoz
Davinson Sánchez7.923D. Sánchez
Jhon Lucumí7.23J. Lucumí
Johan Mojica7.317J. Mojica
Gustavo Puerta8.514G. Puerta
Jefferson Lerma6.616J. Lerma
Jhon Arias8.211J. Arias
James RodríguezC6.710J. Rodríguez
Jhon Córdoba6.39J. Córdoba
Luis Díaz6.27L. Díaz
Lawrence Ati Zigi9.21L. Ati Zigi
Marvin Senaya6.926M. Senaya
Derrick Luckassen7.323D. Luckassen
Jerome Opoku6.718J. Opoku
Gideon Mensah6.714G. Mensah
Thomas Partey6.65T. Partey
Iñaki Williams6.519I. Williams
Caleb Yirenkyi6.23C. Yirenkyi
Kwasi Sibo6.58K. Sibo
Antoine Semenyo6.311A. Semenyo
Jordan AyewC6.59J. Ayew

Colombia Substitutes

25Luis Javier Suárez8'for J. Cordoba6.7
6Richard Ríos46'for J. Rodriguez78'6.7
20Juan Fernando Quintero73'for J. Arias7.6
21Jaminton Campaz90'for L. Diaz6.7
1David Ospina
24Álvaro Montero
4Santiago Arias
13Yerry Mina
18Willer Ditta
22Deiver Machado
5Kevin Castaño
8Jorge Carrascal
15Juan Portilla
26Andrés Gómez
19Cucho Hernández

Ghana Substitutes

2Alidu Seidu13'for M. Senaya76'6.7
15Elisha Owusu62'for K. Sibo6.7
7Abdul Fatawu Issahaku62'for I. Williams66'6.3
24Ernest Nuamah79'for J. Ayew6.7
25Prince Kwabena Adu79'for C. Yirenkyi6.3
12Joseph Anang
16Benjamin Asare
4Jonas Adjei Adjetey
6Abdul Mumin
17Rahman Baba
21Kojo Peprah Oppong
13Christopher Baah
20Augustine Boakye
10Brandon Thomas-Asante
22Kamaldeen Sulemana

Match Stats

ColombiaGhana
61%Ball Possession39%
3Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
20Total Shots8
8Shots on Goal0
8Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box2
8Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots5
14Fouls10
2Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves7
586Total Passes376
532Passes Accurate312
91%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

ColombiaColombia
GhanaGhana
1779Elo Rating 1510
0.82Attack 0.70
2.86Defense 0.94
54%Hit Rate 0%
16.6Shots per Game 8.9
5.6Shots on Target 1.8
4.1Corners per Game 4.5
1.4Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+270 Elo
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ColombiaColombia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
GhanaGhana
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)

Recent Form

ColombiaColombia
6W4D0L
28/06/2026
ColombiaPortugal
00
D
24/06/2026
ColombiaCongo DR
10
W
18/06/2026
UzbekistanColombia
13
W
08/06/2026
ColombiaJordan
20
W
02/06/2026
ColombiaCosta Rica
31
W
10/09/2025
VenezuelaColombia
36
W
05/09/2025
ColombiaBolivia
30
W
11/06/2025
ArgentinaColombia
11
D
06/06/2025
ColombiaPeru
00
D
26/03/2025
ColombiaParaguay
22
D
GhanaGhana
5W3D2L
27/06/2026
CroatiaGhana
21
L
23/06/2026
EnglandGhana
00
D
18/06/2026
GhanaPanama
10
W
02/06/2026
WalesGhana
11
D
23/05/2026
MexicoGhana
20
L
12/10/2025
GhanaComoros
10
W
08/10/2025
Central African RepublicGhana
05
W
08/09/2025
GhanaMali
10
W
04/09/2025
ChadGhana
11
D
24/03/2025
MadagascarGhana
03
W

Referee Profile

Clement Turpin268 matches

3.58Cards per match
3.34Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Clement Turpin3.58
Other referees4.10

3.58 cards a match, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.10).

Cards come from 261 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group K

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ColombiaColombia32104:1+37DWW
2PortugalPortugal31206:1+55DWD
3Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
4UzbekistanUzbekistan30032:11-90LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ColombiaColombia34:17
2PortugalPortugal36:15
3Congo DRCongo DR34:34
4UzbekistanUzbekistan32:110

Group L

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EnglandEngland32106:2+47WDW
2CroatiaCroatia32015:506WWL
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4PanamaPanama30030:4-40LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1EnglandEngland36:27
2CroatiaCroatia35:56
3GhanaGhana32:24
4PanamaPanama30:40

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

About the Colombia vs Ghana forecast

As a knockout tie in the World Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

More World Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the World Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.5 out of 10 by our context model. Colombia and Ghana have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.