Colombia vs Ghana Prediction

Colombia
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Ghana
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City· Clement Turpin, France 04/07/2026
ColombiaColombia
1-0
Finished
GhanaGhana

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.5 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.91
SignalGOODModel52%RiskMediumGap+5.3%
Colombia Rest
6 days
Ghana Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.43
X
29%4.30
2
11%8.00
Double Chance
1X
89%1.08
X2
40%2.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.25
No
47%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.03 = 2.55
Over 1.5
73%1.31
Over 2.5
45%2.00
Over 3.5
25%3.50
Under 1.5
27%3.25
Under 2.5
55%1.80
Under 3.5
75%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.4 = 9.4
Over 8.5
55%1.91
Over 9.5
46%2.50
Over 10.5
33%3.36
Under 8.5
45%1.82
Under 9.5
54%1.47
Under 10.5
67%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.7 = 3.2
Over 3.5
41%2.60
Over 4.5
23%3.65
Under 3.5
59%1.47
Under 4.5
77%1.25

Match Events

8'J. Cordoba INL. Suarez out
12'J. AriasTripping
13'M. Senaya INA. Seidu out
14'J. AriasAssist: L. Suarez
46'J. Rodriguez INR. Rios out
49'C. YirenkyiHolding
56'Goal Disallowed - offsideL. Diaz
62'I. Williams INI. Fatawu out
62'K. Sibo INE. Owusu out
66'I. FatawuUnsportsmanlike conduct
73'J. Arias INJ. Quintero out
76'A. SeiduTripping
78'R. RiosTripping
79'J. Ayew INE. Nuamah out
79'C. Yirenkyi INP. Adu out
90'L. Diaz INJ. Campaz out

Lineups

Colombia
4-3-3Coach: Nestor Lorenzo
Ghana
4-1-4-1Coach: Carlos Queiroz
Camilo Vargas12C. VargasCamilo Vargas
Daniel Muñoz2D. MuñozDaniel Muñoz
Davinson Sánchez23D. SánchezDavinson Sánchez
Jhon Lucumí3J. LucumíJhon Lucumí
Johan Mojica17J. MojicaJohan Mojica
Gustavo Puerta14G. PuertaGustavo Puerta
Jefferson Lerma16J. LermaJefferson Lerma
Jhon Arias11J. AriasJhon Arias
James Rodríguez10J. RodríguezJames Rodríguez
Jhon Córdoba9J. CórdobaJhon Córdoba
Luis Díaz7L. DíazLuis Díaz
Lawrence Ati Zigi1L. Ati ZigiLawrence Ati Zigi
Marvin Senaya26M. SenayaMarvin Senaya
Derrick Luckassen23D. LuckassenDerrick Luckassen
Jerome Opoku18J. OpokuJerome Opoku
Gideon Mensah14G. MensahGideon Mensah
Thomas Partey5T. ParteyThomas Partey
Iñaki Williams19I. WilliamsIñaki Williams
Caleb Yirenkyi3C. YirenkyiCaleb Yirenkyi
Kwasi Sibo8K. SiboKwasi Sibo
Antoine Semenyo11A. SemenyoAntoine Semenyo
Jordan Ayew9J. AyewJordan Ayew

Colombia Substitutes

25Luis Javier SuárezF
6Richard RíosM
20Juan Fernando QuinteroM
21Jaminton CampazM
1David OspinaG
24Álvaro MonteroG
4Santiago AriasD
13Yerry MinaD
18Willer DittaD
22Deiver MachadoD
5Kevin CastañoM
8Jorge CarrascalM
15Juan PortillaM
26Andrés GómezF
19Cucho HernándezF

Ghana Substitutes

2Alidu SeiduD
15Elisha OwusuM
7Abdul Fatawu IssahakuF
24Ernest NuamahF
25Prince Kwabena AduF
12Joseph AnangG
16Benjamin AsareG
4Jonas Adjei AdjeteyD
6Abdul MuminD
17Rahman BabaD
21Kojo Peprah OppongD
13Christopher BaahF
20Augustine BoakyeM
10Brandon Thomas-AsanteF
22Kamaldeen SulemanaF

Match Stats

ColombiaGhana
61%Ball Possession39%
3Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
20Total Shots8
8Shots on Goal0
8Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box2
8Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots5
14Fouls10
2Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves7
586Total Passes376
532Passes Accurate312
91%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

ColombiaColombia
GhanaGhana
1772Elo Rating 1562
0.82Attack 0.54
2.86Defense 2.27
54%Hit Rate 31%
18.7Shots per Game 4.8
5.9Shots on Target 0.5
4.9Corners per Game 2.0
1.7Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+210 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ColombiaColombia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
GhanaGhana
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

ColombiaColombia
4W1D0L
28/06/2026
ColombiaPortugal
00
D
24/06/2026
ColombiaCongo DR
10
W
18/06/2026
UzbekistanColombia
13
W
08/06/2026
ColombiaJordan
20
W
02/06/2026
ColombiaCosta Rica
31
W
GhanaGhana
1W2D2L

Referee Profile

Clement Turpin, France · 15 matches analysed

3.3Avg Yellows
3.4Avg Cards
23.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 2% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group K

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ColombiaColombia32104:1+37DWW
2PortugalPortugal31206:1+55DWD
3Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
4UzbekistanUzbekistan30032:11-90LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ColombiaColombia34:17
2PortugalPortugal36:15
3Congo DRCongo DR34:34
4UzbekistanUzbekistan32:110

Group L

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EnglandEngland32106:2+47WDW
2CroatiaCroatia32015:506WWL
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4PanamaPanama30030:4-40LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1EnglandEngland36:27
2CroatiaCroatia35:56
3GhanaGhana32:24
4PanamaPanama30:40

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

Colombia vs Ghana Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.5 out of 10 by our context model. Colombia and Ghana have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.