Australia vs Egypt Prediction

Australia
1-1
After Penalties
HT 0-1AET 0-0PEN 2-4
Egypt
AT&T Stadium, DallasĀ·Gustavo Tejera, Uruguay 03/07/2026
AustraliaAustralia
1-1
After Penalties
EgyptEgypt

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.5 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.55
SignalHIGHModel36%SurpriseMediumGap+12.3%
Australia Rest
7 days
Egypt Rest
6 days

Australia vs Egypt: the result in context

Egypt beat Australia on penalties (4-2) after a 1-1 draw in the World Cup on 3 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%3.50
X
36%2.88
2
24%2.38
Double Chance
1X
76%1.57
X2
60%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.15
No
47%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1 = 2.41
Over 1.5
72%1.55
Over 2.5
43%2.75
Over 3.5
24%5.50
Under 1.5
28%2.38
Under 2.5
57%1.46
Under 3.5
76%1.13
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 4.7 = 8.9
Over 8.5
55%1.86
Over 9.5
46%2.40
Over 10.5
33%3.23
Under 8.5
45%1.92
Under 9.5
54%1.53
Under 10.5
67%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.7 = 3.3
Over 3.5
42%2.35
Over 4.5
24%3.42
Under 3.5
58%1.53
Under 4.5
76%1.28

Match Events

13'Emam AshourAssist: Karim Hafez
46'Jordan Bos INKai Trewin out
55'Mohamed HanyOG
67'Hamdy Fathy INHossam Abdelmaguid out
67'Mostafa Ziko INHaissem Hassan out
74'Nestory Irankunda INMohamed TourƩ out
74'Cristian Volpato INAjdin Hrustić out
80'Karim Hafez INMahmoud TrƩzƩguet out

Extra Time0 - 0

91'Connor Metcalfe INAwer Mabil out
91'Aiden O'Neill INPaul Okon-Engstler out
105'Haissem HassanFoul
106'Omar Marmoush INHamza Abdelkarim out
119'Patrick Beach INMathew Ryan out
120'Yasser IbrahimFoul
120'Marwan Attia INMahmoud Saber out

Lineups

Australia
3-4-2-1Coach: Tony Popovic
Egypt
4-4-2Coach: Hossam Hassan
Avg rating6.87
Avg rating6.83
Patrick Beach6.918P. Beach
Alessandro Circati7.33A. Circati
Harry SouttarC7.719H. Souttar
Lucas Herrington6.525L. Herrington
Jordan Bos6.35J. Bos
Jackson Irvine7.722J. Irvine
Aiden O'Neill7.313A. O'Neill
Aziz Behich6.716A. Behich
Cristian Volpato7.320C. Volpato
Connor Metcalfe6.38C. Metcalfe
Nestory Irankunda6.917N. Irankunda
Mostafa Shobeir7.023M. Shobeir
Mohamed Hany6.03M. Hany
Yasser Ibrahim6.72Y. Ibrahim
Rami Rabia6.95R. Rabia
Karim Hafez7.215K. Hafez
Emam Ashour7.98E. Ashour
Hamdy Fathy6.914H. Fathy
Marwan Attia7.919M. Attia
Omar Marmoush6.322O. Marmoush
Mohamed SalahC6.910M. Salah
Mostafa Ziko6.311M. Ziko

Australia Substitutes

15Kai Trewin46'for Jordan Bos6.3
10Ajdin Hrustić74'for Cristian Volpato6.9
9Mohamed TourƩ74'for Nestory Irankunda6.3
24Paul Okon-Engstler91'for Aiden O'Neill6.9
11Awer Mabil91'for Connor Metcalfe6.6
1Mathew Ryan119'for Patrick Beach
12Paul Izzo
2MiloÅ” Degenek
6Jason Geria
21Cameron Burgess
14Cameron Devlin
23Nishan Velupillay
26Tete Yengi

Egypt Substitutes

4Hossam Abdelmaguid67'for Hamdy Fathy6.6
12Haissem Hassan67'for Mostafa Ziko105'7.2
7Mahmoud TrƩzƩguet80'for Karim Hafez6.2
9Hamza Abdelkarim106'for Omar Marmoush6.5
21Mahmoud Saber120'for Marwan Attia
1Mohamed El-Shenawy
26Mohamed Alaa
16Mahdi Soliman
24Tarek Alaa
18Nabil Donga
20Ibrahim Adel
25Zizo

Match Stats

AustraliaEgypt
42%Ball Possession58%
4Corner Kicks3
12Total Shots10
1Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots5
12Fouls14
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves1
411Total Passes536
333Passes Accurate457
80%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

AustraliaAustralia
EgyptEgypt
1742Elo Rating 1683
0.88Attack 2.04
2.20Defense 2.11
31%Hit Rate 27%
9.0Shots per Game 13.3
2.9Shots on Target 4.5
3.7Corners per Game 5.2
1.1Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

šŸ“ŠAway Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AustraliaAustralia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
EgyptEgypt
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

AustraliaAustralia
5W3D2L
26/06/2026
ParaguayAustralia
00
D
19/06/2026
USAAustralia
20
L
14/06/2026
AustraliaTürkiye
20
W
06/06/2026
SwitzerlandAustralia
11
D
31/05/2026
MexicoAustralia
10
L
10/06/2025
Saudi ArabiaAustralia
12
W
05/06/2025
AustraliaJapan
10
W
25/03/2025
ChinaAustralia
02
W
20/03/2025
AustraliaIndonesia
51
W
19/11/2024
BahrainAustralia
22
D
EgyptEgypt
4W3D3L
27/06/2026
EgyptIran
11
D
22/06/2026
New ZealandEgypt
13
W
15/06/2026
BelgiumEgypt
11
D
07/06/2026
BrazilEgypt
21
L
28/05/2026
EgyptRussia
10
W
17/01/2026
EgyptNigeria
2040
L
14/01/2026
SenegalEgypt
10
L
10/01/2026
EgyptIvory Coast
32
W
05/01/2026
EgyptBenin
3111
W
29/12/2025
AngolaEgypt
00
D

Referee Profile

Gustavo Tejera160 matches

4.98Cards per match
4.79Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gustavo Tejera4.98
Other referees5.35

4.98 cards a match, 0.37 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.35).

Cards come from 84 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group D

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1USAUSA32018:4+46LWW
2AustraliaAustralia31112:204DLW
3ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
4TürkiyeTürkiye31023:5-23WLL
#TeamMPGPts
1USAUSA38:46
2AustraliaAustralia32:24
3ParaguayParaguay32:44
4TürkiyeTürkiye33:53

Group G

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BelgiumBelgium31206:2+45WDD
2EgyptEgypt31205:3+25DWD
3IranIran30303:303DDD
4New ZealandNew Zealand30124:10-61LLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BelgiumBelgium36:25
2EgyptEgypt35:35
3IranIran33:33
4New ZealandNew Zealand34:101

About the Australia vs Egypt forecast

As a knockout tie in the World Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

More World Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the World Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.5 out of 10 by our context model. Egypt have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Australia and Egypt have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.