Wolves vs Port Vale Prediction

Wolves
3-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Port Vale
Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton·David Webb, England 07/08/2026
WolvesWolves
3-0
Finished
Port ValePort Vale

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.60
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+8.8%
Wolves Rest
6 days
Port Vale Rest
6 days

Wolves vs Port Vale: result, form and history

Wolves beat Port Vale 3-0 in the League Cup on 7 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee David Webb averages 3.06 cards a game, 0.75 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.24
X
26%5.91
2
10%10.33
Double Chance
1X
89%1.05
X2
36%3.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.99
No
54%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.7 + 1.05 = 3.75
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
52%1.50
Over 3.5
33%2.29
Under 1.5
17%5.00
Under 2.5
48%2.45
Under 3.5
67%1.60
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'A. Armstrong
26'J. Lawrence-Gabriel
34'AndreAssist: Y. Mosquera
43'F. LopezAssist: R. Gomes
56'M. Faal(Penalty missed)
60'J. Headley INO. Hernandez out
64'K. Trippier
66'M. Munetsi INT. Doyle out
71'M. Mane INR. Jimenez out
71'Toti INN. Djiga out
71'M. Faal INO. Lynch out
71'J. Lawrence-Gabriel INKyle John out
78'G. Hall INB. Waine out
78'G. Byers INR. Croasdale out
84'Y. Mosquera INL. Krejci out
84'R. Gomes INJ. Tchatchoua out

Lineups

Wolves
3-4-2-1Coach: Cesar Peixoto
Port Vale
4-2-3-1Coach: Jon Brady
Avg rating7.06
Avg rating6.49
Daniel Bentley8.025D. Bentley
Kieran Trippier7.02K. Trippier
Yerson Mosquera7.615Y. Mosquera
Toti GomesC7.524T. Gomes
Rodrigo Gomes6.921R. Gomes
Fer López7.928F. López
André8.27André
Hugo Bueno7.23H. Bueno
Marshall Munetsi6.25M. Munetsi
Mateus Mané6.736M. Mané
Adam Armstrong7.710A. Armstrong
Jackson Smith6.51J. Smith
Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel5.26J. Lawrence-Gabriel
Cameron Humphreys6.225C. Humphreys
Lewis Montsma6.722L. Montsma
Liam Gordon5.915L. Gordon
Kyle Dempsey6.610K. Dempsey
George ByersC7.27G. Byers
Jaheim Headley6.93J. Headley
Rhys Walters6.638R. Walters
George Hall6.333G. Hall
Mo Faal7.39M. Faal

Wolves Substitutes

20Tommy Doyle66'for M. Munetsi6.2
34Nasser Djiga71'for Toti6.7
9Raúl Jiménez71'for M. Mane6.6
37Ladislav Krejčí84'for Y. Mosquera6.3
38Jackson Tchatchoua84'for R. Gomes6.3
1José Sá
17Pedro Lima
23Tawanda Chirewa
50Jerome Abbey

Port Vale Substitutes

11Onel Hernández60'for J. Headley6.5
2Kyle John71'for J. Lawrence-Gabriel6.7
14Oliver Lynch71'for M. Faal6.6
18Ryan Croasdale78'for G. Byers6.3
19Ben Waine78'for G. Hall6.3
13Mason Terry
5Connor Hall
42Charlie Bussel
17Tyreece Simpson

Match Stats

WolvesPort Vale
69%Ball Possession31%
8Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box9
8Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots4
10Fouls6
7Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
545Total Passes244
473Passes Accurate196
87%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

WolvesWolves
Port ValePort Vale
1689Elo Rating 1542
1.05Attack 1.85
1.94Defense 2.35
46%Hit Rate 58%
18.6Shots per Game 12.7
3.6Shots on Target 5.6
8.7Corners per Game 4.5
2.9Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+147 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.74 goals

Game State Tendencies

WolvesWolves
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Port ValePort Vale
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

WolvesWolves
3W3D4L
01/08/2026
WolvesRacing Santander
30
W
29/07/2026
DoncasterWolves
02
W
25/07/2026
WolvesReal Sociedad
12
L
22/07/2026
MaidenheadWolves
01
W
24/05/2026
BurnleyWolves
11
D
17/05/2026
WolvesFulham
11
D
09/05/2026
BrightonWolves
30
L
02/05/2026
WolvesSunderland
11
D
25/04/2026
WolvesTottenham
01
L
18/04/2026
LeedsWolves
30
L
Port ValePort Vale
5W2D3L
01/08/2026
BlackpoolPort Vale
01
W
25/07/2026
Port ValeReal Murcia
10
W
18/07/2026
WiganPort Vale
13
W
02/05/2026
Port ValeLincoln
02
L
28/04/2026
Stockport CountyPort Vale
12
W
25/04/2026
PlymouthPort Vale
21
L
22/04/2026
CardiffPort Vale
10
L
19/04/2026
Port ValeWigan
00
D
16/04/2026
PeterboroughPort Vale
13
W
14/04/2026
Port ValeBarnsley
00
D

Referee Profile

David Webb212 matches

3.06Cards per match
2.97Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
20.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

David Webb3.06
Other referees3.81

3.06 cards a match, 0.75 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.81).

Cards come from 207 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Wolves vs Port Vale forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Port Vale have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Wolves and Port Vale have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.