Everton vs Newcastle Prediction
England · Round of 16
Everton vs Newcastle: what the numbers say
There is little to separate the two on recent form: Everton have won 2 of their last five and Newcastle 2. It is a knockout tie in the League Cup, played on 29 Oct 2026.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Farai Hallam averages 3.47 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Team Comparison
Everton
NewcastleAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Everton- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Newcastle- No tendency data available
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Everton5Wins · 50%3Wins · 30%Previous meetings
12/08/2026NewcastleEverton
28/02/2026NewcastleEverton29/11/2025EvertonNewcastle25/05/2025NewcastleEverton05/10/2024EvertonNewcastle02/04/2024NewcastleEverton07/12/2023EvertonNewcastle27/04/2023EvertonNewcastle19/10/2022NewcastleEverton17/03/2022EvertonNewcastleRecent Form
Everton
Newcastle
Crystal PalaceNewcastleNewcastle
Aston Villa
CoventryNewcastleNewcastle
Hull City
LeedsNewcastle
MillwallNewcastleNewcastle
Bournemouth
TottenhamNewcastleNewcastle
West BromNewcastle
LiverpoolReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.47 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).
Cards come from 73 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Wycombe1
Stevenage2
Cambridge United2
Barnet1
Burton Albion1
Blackburn2
SunderlandCrystal PalaceBournemouth
ArsenalLiverpoolAston Villa
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester CityHull CityCoventry
Ipswich
Brentford
Nottingham ForestLeedsNewcastleTottenhamEverton
Chelsea
FulhamCambridge United0Millwall1Nottingham Forest0Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02Chelsea2
Luton0Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0SunderlandCrystal PalaceBournemouthArsenalLiverpoolAston VillaManchester UnitedBrightonManchester City
Reading1Brentford2Ipswich2Arsenal4Manchester City5
Norwich0Explore more predictions
This match
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About the Everton vs Newcastle forecast
As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About League Cup
More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.